DHI

D. R. Horton

D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names… D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company also constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes. In addition, it provides mortgage financing and title agency services; and engages in the residential lot development business. Further, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; conducts insurance-related operations; and owns water rights and other water-related assets, as well as non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Market price
USD 153.11
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 8.1% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; FY2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 7 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Forecast Compare Investment journal Create account to save Log in to save

After signing in, return here and select “Add to watchlist”. Saving companies requires a verified email address.

Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 153.11
Fair value range84.97–245.75base 140.66
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 5.09% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.1% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history -0.3%, analyst revenue consensus 6.8%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 140.66 (-8.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 133.50 (-12.8%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 140.66 (-8.1%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 140.66 (-8.1%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 154.93 (+1.2%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 140.66 (-8.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 336.90 (+120.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 84.97–245.75
Base scenario / share USD 140.66
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 84.97-80.2%
Base USD 140.66-8.8%
Bull USD 245.7537.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 74 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -0.3% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.0x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
DHI (this company) USD 153.11 -8.8% 15.1 1.9 1.2% 74
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.70 45.5% 26.8 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 36.4% 10.9 5.0 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 109.52 34.7% 8.7 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 268.04 30.8% 15.6 19.8 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 166.20 29.9% 17.4 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 14.7 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.80 per share · yield 1.18% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.350
20251.650
20241.300
20231.050
20220.925
20210.825
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 30 Sep 2026

RevenueUSD 33,043,400,000
EBITDAUSD 4,022,700,000
EBITUSD 3,906,200,000
Net incomeUSD 2,889,400,000
Free cash flowUSD 3,346,800,000
Capital expendituresUSD 160,400,000
DebtUSD 6,053,900,000
CashUSD 2,060,400,000
Working capitalUSD 28,636,600,000
Shares outstanding285,800,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 1.7960