D. R. Horton
About the company
D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company also constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes. In addition, it provides mortgage financing and title agency services; and engages in the residential lot development business. Further, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; conducts insurance-related operations; and owns water rights and other water-related assets, as well as non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Price below modeled range
5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.
Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.
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Market price below modeled range
Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.
Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 5.09% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.
Blended growth assumption: 5.1% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history -0.3%, analyst revenue consensus 6.8%).
Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.
Adjust assumptions
Show the recommended model instead
Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
Compare models- Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 140.66 (-10.8%)
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EPS-based Gordon proxy
— USD 133.50 (-15.3%)
Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
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DCF (trailing free cash flow)
— USD 140.66 (-10.8%)
Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
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FCFF (steady state)
— USD 140.66 (-10.8%)
Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
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EV/EBITDA (12x)
— USD 154.93 (-1.7%)
Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)
— USD 140.66 (-10.8%)
Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)
— USD 336.90 (+113.7%)
Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
| Bear USD 249.18 | 36.7% |
| Base USD 336.90 | 53.2% |
| Bull USD 424.62 | 62.9% |
Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.
Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.
Price history and fair value
3 months price change: +7.48% · USD 157.63 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 336.90). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.
Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (1 hour, 37 minutes ago).
10 Aug 2026Range USD 133.23 – 157.6305 Nov 2026
Latest news
Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.
More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials
Quality score: 74 / 100
Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.
| Profitability | 5 of 5 years profitable | 20 / 20 |
| Cash generation | free cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years | 20 / 20 |
| Growth | revenue -0.3% a year | 4 / 20 |
| Balance sheet | net debt 1.0x EBITDA | 20 / 20 |
| Margins | EBITDA margin 12% | 10 / 20 |
Peers in Consumer Discretionary
Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.
| Company | Price | Margin of safety | P/E | P/B | Yield | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DHI (this company) | USD 157.63 | -12.1% | 15.6 | 1.9 | 1.1% | 74 |
| KGF.L Kingfisher plc | GBP 3.75 | 44.8% | 27.2 | 1.1 | 3.3% | 74 |
| BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. | GBP 22.90 | 43.9% | 13.9 | 0.8 | 3.1% | 70 |
| EXPE Expedia Group | USD 272.48 | 41.7% | 17.1 | 21.8 | 0.7% | 100 |
| INCH.L Inchcape plc | GBP 6.39 | 37.5% | 8.9 | 1.9 | 4.2% | 80 |
| ZAL.DE Zalando SE | EUR 27.72 | 36.1% | 109.4 | 2.6 | – | 80 |
| DECK Deckers Brands | USD 87.74 | 34.9% | 11.2 | 5.1 | – | 100 |
| LULU Lululemon Athletica | USD 111.77 | 33.3% | 8.9 | 2.6 | – | 100 |
| BKNG Booking Holdings | USD 168.72 | 28.9% | 17.7 | – | 1.0% | 100 |
| Peer median | 15.5 | 2.6 | ||||
Dividends
Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.80 per share · yield 1.14% at the current price.
| Year | Dividends per share |
|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 1.350 |
| 2025 | 1.650 |
| 2024 | 1.300 |
| 2023 | 1.050 |
| 2022 | 0.925 |
| 2021 | 0.825 |
Annual financial statement
Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 30 Sep 2026
| Revenue | USD 33,043,400,000 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | USD 4,022,700,000 |
| EBIT | USD 3,906,200,000 |
| Net income | USD 2,889,400,000 |
| Free cash flow | USD 3,346,800,000 |
| Capital expenditures | USD 160,400,000 |
| Debt | USD 6,053,900,000 |
| Cash | USD 2,060,400,000 |
| Working capital | USD 28,636,600,000 |
| Shares outstanding | 285,800,000 |
| Reported dividends per share | USD 1.7960 |