DOC

Healthpeak Properties

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. is a fully integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) and S&P 500 company. Healthpeak owns, operates, and develops high-quality real estate for healthcare discovery and delivery. Healthpeak Properties, Inc. is based in Denver, Colorado. Healthpeak Properties, Inc. wa… Healthpeak Properties, Inc. is a fully integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) and S&P 500 company. Healthpeak owns, operates, and develops high-quality real estate for healthcare discovery and delivery. Healthpeak Properties, Inc. is based in Denver, Colorado. Healthpeak Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 in Maryland.
Market price
USD 20.12
Within modeled range
Base value (Dividend discount model) is 7.1% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 52 min ago). Last earnings: 02 Nov 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 20.12
Fair value range14.26–26.92base 18.70
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Other models: USD 8.59–17.39 (median 12.99). The recommended value is 44% above that median, so treat the upside with extra caution.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

Dividend discount model

Market price within modeled range

Uses reported dividends of USD 1.2246 per share from TTM through 30 Sep 2026, with 2.3% perpetual growth (base growth capped at the terminal rate) and 9% discount rates. The range varies growth and discount assumptions by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 7.76%, discount rate 9%, terminal growth 2.30% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.8% (sector default 5.1%, own revenue history 10.5%, analyst revenue consensus 7.8%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 7.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 18.70 (-7.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 8.59 (-57.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 17.39 (-13.5%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 44.74 (+122.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 14.26–26.92
Base scenario / share USD 18.70
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 14.26-41.1%
Base USD 18.70-7.6%
Bull USD 26.9225.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 2.7% dividend growth

At USD 20.12 the market implies perpetual dividend growth of about this rate (discount rate 9.0%).

Compare: the market implies 2.7% a year, this model assumes 2.3%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Dividend discount model value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price. Dividend growth cannot exceed the long-run rate, so duplicate capped scenarios are omitted.

Growth \ Discount 7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%11.0%
-1.7% 13.84 12.41 11.25 10.29 9.48
0.3% 18.33 15.95 14.12 12.66 11.48
2.3% 26.65 21.98 18.70 16.27 14.40

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 76 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +10.4% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 5.2x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 58%20 / 20

Peers in Real Estate

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
DOC (this company) USD 20.12 -7.6% 35.7 1.8 6.1% 76
HST Host Hotels & Resorts USD 24.63 44.2% 16.4 2.6 3.9% 100
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities USD 45.17 23.7% – 0.5 7.8% 44
VMRK Vivmark Residential USD 65.25 22.5% 28.6 2.4 4.2% 82
UDR UDR, Inc. USD 37.01 8.2% 17.2 3.8 7.1% 82
VICI Vici Properties USD 25.21 6.2% 11.8 1.0 7.0% 80
UTG.L Unite Group PLC GBP 4.95 -3.3% 24.9 0.5 6.3% 68
DLN.L Derwent London Plc GBP 19.57 -4.9% 13.6 0.6 4.1% 60
WDP.BR Warehouses De Pauw SA EUR 19.33 -5.5% 11.9 0.9 6.2% 80
Peer median 16.4 0.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.22 per share · yield 6.08% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.020
20251.223
20241.200
20231.200
20221.200
20211.200
Sector Real Estate
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:55

RevenueUSD 3,064,825,000
EBITDAUSD 1,762,464,000
EBITUSD 665,078,000
Net incomeUSD 388,105,000
Free cash flowUSD 332,529,000
Capital expendituresUSD 1,003,000,000
DebtUSD 9,670,731,000
CashUSD 514,310,000
Working capitalUSD -2,548,903,000
Shares outstanding689,509,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 1.2246