AMCR

Amcor

Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces packaging solutions for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. Its products include apparel, applicators, bags and bulk bags, bottles and vials, building mater… Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces packaging solutions for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. Its products include apparel, applicators, bags and bulk bags, bottles and vials, building materials, canisters and jerrycans, drinking cups, films and laminates, jars, lids, tapes and adhesives, trays, tubes, wipes packaging solutions, and miscellaneous and accessories, as well as tubs and pots. The company's Global Flexible Packaging Solutions segment develops and supplies flexible packaging; and supplies polymer resin, aluminum, and fiber based flexible packaging solutions. Its Global Rigid Packaging Solutions segment manufactures rigid packaging containers, closures, dispensing and pharma delivery devices, and related products. The company sells its products through its direct sales force. Amcor plc was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Market price
USD 45.84
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 5.8% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; FY2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 27 min ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 45.84
Fair value range27.99–73.07base 43.18
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 4.41% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 4.41%, discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.4% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history 12.8%, analyst revenue consensus -0.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -0.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.4%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 36.87 (-19.6%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 33.98 (-25.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 43.18 (-5.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 40.16 (-12.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 89.80 (+95.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 43.07 (-6.0%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 192.77 (+320.5%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 27.99–73.07
Base scenario / share USD 43.18
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 27.99-63.8%
Base USD 43.18-6.2%
Bull USD 73.0737.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: +18.31% · USD 45.84 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 43.18). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (29 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range USD 35.58 – 49.0205 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +12.9% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 14%10 / 20

Peers in Materials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AMCR (this company) USD 45.84 -3.4% 19.5 1.8 6.8% 90
MT.AS ArcelorMittal S.A. EUR 54.82 40.6% 25.8 0.9 1.1% 70
CF CF Industries USD 118.57 1.9% 13.2 4.0 1.7% 92
HOLN.SW Holcim AG CHF 73.84 -8.5% 3.1 – 4.2% 74
UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj EUR 22.68 -12.0% 17.4 1.2 6.6% 70
YAR.OL Yara International ASA NOK 401.00 -17.7% 7.7 1.2 1.2% 74
MOS Mosaic Company (The) USD 22.33 -22.8% 13.2 0.6 3.9% 62
VSVS.L Vesuvius plc GBP 4.52 -37.0% 21.7 1.0 5.1% 68
SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB SEK 90.72 -57.0% 15.9 1.2 2.9% 62
Peer median 14.6 1.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 2.60 per share · yield 5.67% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.950
20252.570
20242.515
20232.470
20222.415
20212.370
Sector Materials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 30 Jun 2026

RevenueUSD 23,506,000,000
EBITDAUSD 3,378,000,000
EBITUSD 1,899,000,000
Net incomeUSD 1,106,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,229,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD -922,000,000
DebtUSD
CashUSD 1,115,000,000
Working capitalUSD 1,891,000,000
Shares outstanding463,800,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 2.5875