AMCR

Amcor

Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces packaging solutions for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. Its products include apparel, applicators, bags and bulk bags, bottles and vials, building mater… Amcor plc, together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces packaging solutions for nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness categories in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. Its products include apparel, applicators, bags and bulk bags, bottles and vials, building materials, canisters and jerrycans, drinking cups, films and laminates, jars, lids, tapes and adhesives, trays, tubes, wipes packaging solutions, and miscellaneous and accessories, as well as tubs and pots. The company's Global Flexible Packaging Solutions segment develops and supplies flexible packaging; and supplies polymer resin, aluminum, and fiber based flexible packaging solutions. Its Global Rigid Packaging Solutions segment manufactures rigid packaging containers, closures, dispensing and pharma delivery devices, and related products. The company sells its products through its direct sales force. Amcor plc was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Market price
USD 44.22
Within modeled range
Base value (DCF (trailing free cash flow)) is 8.2% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 day ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
Forecast Compare Investment journal Create account to save Log in to save

After signing in, return here and select “Add to watchlist”. Saving companies requires a verified email address.

Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 44.22
Fair value range25.93–69.37base 40.58
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF agrees.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

DCF (trailing free cash flow)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the DCF (trailing free cash flow) you selected on the company card, using 5.46% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.46%, discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.5% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history 16.9%, analyst revenue consensus -0.5%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -0.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — USD 37.92 (-14.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 33.31 (-24.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 40.58 (-8.2%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 36.09 (-18.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 78.40 (+77.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 40.42 (-8.6%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 185.98 (+320.6%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 25.93–69.37
Base scenario / share USD 40.58
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 25.93-70.5%
Base USD 40.58-9.0%
Bull USD 69.3736.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +12.9% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 13%10 / 20

Peers in Materials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AMCR (this company) USD 44.22 -16.6% 18.9 0.6 6.0% 90
MT.AS ArcelorMittal S.A. EUR 54.26 41.2% 25.6 0.8 1.1% 70
CF CF Industries USD 117.79 -2.3% 8.2 2.0 2.2% 84
HOLN.SW Holcim AG CHF 72.98 -7.2% 3.1 – 4.2% 74
UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj EUR 22.37 -10.4% 17.1 1.2 6.7% 70
YAR.OL Yara International ASA NOK 396.60 -16.5% 7.6 1.1 1.2% 74
MOS Mosaic Company (The) USD 21.96 -33.2% 13.0 – 4.0% 79
VSVS.L Vesuvius plc GBP 4.49 -36.1% 21.5 1.0 5.2% 68
SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB SEK 90.56 -56.7% 15.9 1.2 2.9% 62
Peer median 14.4 1.2

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 2.60 per share · yield 5.88% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.950
20252.570
20242.515
20232.470
20222.415
20212.370
Sector Materials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 05 Nov 2026 16:05

RevenueUSD 23,890,000,000
EBITDAUSD 2,987,000,000
EBITUSD 2,007,000,000
Net incomeUSD 1,086,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,136,074,160
Capital expendituresUSD 733,470,585
DebtUSD 253,000,000
CashUSD 832,000,000
Working capitalUSD 8,106,000,000
Shares outstanding464,600,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 2.6613