Kraft Heinz
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and p…
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainstream coffee, coffee pods, and premium coffee; and cold cuts, bacon, and hot dogs. It offers its products under the Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, ABC, Master, Quero, Golden Circle, Wattie's, Pudliszki, and Plasmon brands, as well as Bagel Bites, Claussen, A1, and Cool Whip. It sells its products through its own sales organizations, as well as through independent brokers, agents, and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative, and independent grocery accounts; convenience, value, and club stores; pharmacies and drug stores; mass merchants; foodservice distributors; institutions, including hotels, restaurants, bakeries, hospitals, health care facilities, and government agencies; and various e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company has a strategic partnership with the National Football League. The company was formerly known as H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation and changed its name to The Kraft Heinz Company in July 2015. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.After signing in, return here and select “Add to watchlist”. Saving companies requires a verified email address.
Priced within the modelled range
Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.
Market price within modeled range
Free-cash-flow DCF using TTM through 30 Jun 2026 reported free cash flow, with cash, debt, and shares from the latest report. Base assumptions are 2% growth, 2.4% terminal growth, and 9.2% discount. Low/high cases vary growth by 2 and terminal growth/discount by 1 percentage point; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.
Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.
Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history -2.0%, analyst revenue consensus 0.2%).
5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 8.9% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.
Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 0.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.
Adjust assumptions
Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
Compare models- Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 33.86 (+33.7%)
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EPS-based Gordon proxy
— not applicable
Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
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DCF (trailing free cash flow)
— USD 33.86 (+33.7%)
Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
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FCFF (steady state)
— USD 34.69 (+37.0%)
Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
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EV/EBITDA (12x)
— not applicable
Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)
— USD 33.89 (+33.9%)
Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)
— USD 7.23 (-71.4%)
Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
| Bear USD 21.19 | -19.5% |
| Base USD 33.86 | 25.2% |
| Bull USD 57.41 | 55.9% |
Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.
At USD 25.32 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.4%, discount 9.2%).
Compare: the market implies -2.5% a year, this model assumes 2.0%. The model is more optimistic than the price, which is why it reads as undervalued.
Sensitivity: base value per share
How the Free-cash-flow DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.
These are assumption-based scenarios, not a confidence interval. Scroll horizontally to see all discount rates.
| Growth \ Discount | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.0% | 42.46 | 32.94 | 26.21 | 21.20 | 17.33 |
| 0.0% | 47.85 | 37.32 | 29.89 | 24.37 | 20.09 |
| 2.0% | 53.66 | 42.06 | 33.86 | 27.77 | 23.06 |
| 4.0% | 59.93 | 47.15 | 38.13 | 31.43 | 26.25 |
| 6.0% | 66.68 | 52.63 | 42.72 | 35.36 | 29.67 |
Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.
Price history and fair value
6 months price change: +10.79% · USD 25.32 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 33.86). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.
Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (4 minutes ago).
07 May 2026Range USD 21.68 – 27.1905 Nov 2026
Latest news
Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.
More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials
Quality score: 36 / 100
Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.
| Profitability | 3 of 5 years profitable | 12 / 20 |
| Cash generation | free cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years | 20 / 20 |
| Growth | revenue -1.5% a year | 4 / 20 |
| Balance sheet | net debt with no EBITDA | 0 / 20 |
| Margins | EBITDA margin -8% | 0 / 20 |
Peers in Consumer Staples
Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.
| Company | Price | Margin of safety | P/E | P/B | Yield | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHC (this company) | USD 25.32 | 25.2% | – | 0.8 | 6.3% | 36 |
| ORK.OL Orkla ASA | NOK 102.60 | 31.9% | 14.6 | 2.3 | 9.7% | 82 |
| WN.TO George Weston Limited | CAD 109.72 | 26.2% | 39.8 | 9.1 | 1.2% | 72 |
| CA.PA Carrefour SA | EUR 13.63 | 23.9% | 29.2 | 0.8 | 8.7% | 72 |
| ABF.L Associated British Foods plc | GBP 19.90 | 18.8% | 15.1 | 1.2 | 3.2% | 82 |
| ADM Archer Daniels Midland | USD 70.47 | 16.8% | 13.7 | 1.4 | 3.0% | 64 |
| AXFO.ST Axfood AB | SEK 283.80 | 7.9% | 25.0 | 8.2 | 3.1% | 70 |
| DLTR Dollar Tree | USD 137.94 | 0.3% | 16.3 | 7.7 | – | 72 |
| CCH.L Coca-Cola HBC AG | GBP 41.88 | -2.4% | 19.7 | 4.7 | 2.0% | 90 |
| Peer median | 18.0 | 3.5 | ||||
Dividends
Paid in the last 12 months: USD 1.60 per share · yield 6.32% at the current price.
| Year | Dividends per share |
|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 1.200 |
| 2025 | 1.600 |
| 2024 | 1.600 |
| 2023 | 1.600 |
| 2022 | 1.600 |
| 2021 | 1.600 |
Trailing 12-month financials
TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 04 Nov 2026 19:33
| Revenue | USD 24,900,000,000 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | USD -1,937,000,000 |
| EBIT | USD -2,939,000,000 |
| Net income | USD -3,396,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | USD 3,816,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | USD 805,000,000 |
| Debt | USD 19,001,000,000 |
| Cash | USD 2,681,000,000 |
| Working capital | USD 535,000,000 |
| Shares outstanding | 1,186,000,000 |
| Reported dividends per share | USD 1.5987 |