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LULU

Lululemon Athletica

lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Greece, and internationally. It offers… lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Greece, and internationally. It offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for athletic activities, such as yoga, running, training, and other activities. The company also provides fitness-inspired accessories. It sells its products through company-operated stores; seasonal stores, pop-ups, university campus retailers, and yoga and fitness studios; outlets; Like New, a re-commerce program; and its e-commerce website. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Market price
USD 110.00
Within modeled range
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 5.8% below the market price
5-year outlook: 11.3% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:41; FY2026, period ended 01 Feb 2026 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 5 min ago). Next earnings: 10 Dec 2026 (in 34 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 110.00
Fair value range81.48–141.37base 103.65
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook11.3% / yr≈ USD 188.17 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 5.05% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 5.05%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.0% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 15.4%, analyst revenue consensus -1.2%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 11.3% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -1.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.1%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 112.48 (+2.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 177.58 (+61.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 112.48 (+2.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 103.65 (-5.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 272.80 (+148.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 112.14 (+1.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 548.85 (+399.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 81.48–141.37
Base scenario / share USD 103.65
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 81.48-35.0%
Base USD 103.65-6.1%
Bull USD 141.3722.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +15.4% a year20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 24%20 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
LULU (this company) USD 111.77 33.3% 8.9 2.6 – 100
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.72 45.2% 27.0 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 23.01 43.6% 14.0 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.41 37.3% 9.0 1.9 4.1% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.49 36.6% 108.5 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 34.9% 11.2 5.1 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 29.6% 15.8 20.2 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
PETS.L Pets at Home Group Plc GBP 2.58 25.2% 18.8 1.2 2.9% 82
Peer median 16.8 1.9
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 01 Feb 2026

RevenueUSD 11,102,600,000
EBITDAUSD 2,706,843,000
EBITUSD 2,210,615,000
Net incomeUSD 1,579,183,000
Free cash flowUSD 921,675,000
Capital expendituresUSD -680,802,000
DebtUSD
CashUSD
Working capitalUSD 2,375,153,000
Shares outstanding119,068,000