Mosaic Company (The)
About the company
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, as well as concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials, a value-added ammoniated phosphate product. It also mines, processes, and sells potash to crop nutrient manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and to customers for industrial use; and owns and operates mines, chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses, which produce and sell concentrated phosphate and potash-based crop nutrients, and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand; and purchases phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products to produce blended crop nutrients. Further, it offers triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; feed phosphate under the Biofos and Nexfos brands; potash for de-icing and as a water softener regenerant; and phosphogypsum. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The company operates in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Indonesia, and internationally. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
Price below modeled range
5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.
Why: Free cash flow cannot be used (negative or far below earnings, with too little history to normalise it), so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.
The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.
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Market price below modeled range
Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 4.31% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).
Assumptions: growth 4.31%, discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60% (sector defaults). See a worked example.
Blended growth assumption: 4.3% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history -0.6%, analyst revenue consensus 6.0%).
Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.0% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.3%.
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Show the recommended model instead
Why this model: Free cash flow cannot be used (negative or far below earnings, with too little history to normalise it), so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.
Compare models- Recommended: Earnings-based DCF — USD 18.19 (-18.5%)
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EPS-based Gordon proxy
— USD 24.16 (+8.2%)
Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
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DCF (trailing free cash flow)
— not applicable
Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
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FCFF (steady state)
— not applicable
Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
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EV/EBITDA (12x)
— USD 77.74 (+248.1%)
Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)
— not applicable
Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)
— USD 172.60 (+673.0%)
Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
| Bear USD 125.53 | 82.2% |
| Base USD 172.60 | 87.1% |
| Bull USD 219.67 | 89.8% |
Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.
Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.
Price history and fair value
1 year price change: -7.10% · USD 22.33 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 172.60). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.
Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:33 (2 hours, 42 minutes ago).
06 Nov 2025Range USD 17.27 – 30.7805 Nov 2026
Latest news
Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.
More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials
Quality score: 70 / 100
Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.
| Profitability | 5 of 5 years profitable | 20 / 20 |
| Cash generation | free cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years | 16 / 20 |
| Growth | revenue -0.6% a year | 4 / 20 |
| Balance sheet | net debt 2.0x EBITDA | 10 / 20 |
| Margins | EBITDA margin 21% | 20 / 20 |
Peers in Materials
Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.
| Company | Price | Margin of safety | P/E | P/B | Yield | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS (this company) | USD 22.33 | -22.8% | 13.2 | 0.6 | 3.9% | 70 |
| MT.AS ArcelorMittal S.A. | EUR 54.82 | 40.6% | 25.8 | 0.9 | 1.1% | 70 |
| CF CF Industries | USD 118.57 | 1.9% | 13.2 | 4.0 | 1.7% | 92 |
| AMCR Amcor | USD 45.84 | -3.4% | 19.5 | 1.8 | 6.8% | 90 |
| HOLN.SW Holcim AG | CHF 73.26 | -7.6% | 3.1 | – | 4.2% | 74 |
| UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj | EUR 22.46 | -10.9% | 17.2 | 1.2 | 6.7% | 70 |
| YAR.OL Yara International ASA | NOK 401.00 | -17.7% | 7.7 | 1.2 | 1.2% | 74 |
| VSVS.L Vesuvius plc | GBP 4.52 | -37.0% | 21.7 | 1.0 | 5.1% | 68 |
| SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB | SEK 90.72 | -57.0% | 15.9 | 1.2 | 2.9% | 62 |
| Peer median | 16.6 | 1.2 | ||||
Dividends
Paid in the last 12 months: USD 0.88 per share · yield 3.94% at the current price.
| Year | Dividends per share |
|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 0.660 |
| 2025 | 0.880 |
| 2024 | 0.840 |
| 2023 | 1.050 |
| 2022 | 0.563 |
| 2021 | 0.275 |
Annual financial statement
Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025
| Revenue | USD 12,052,400,000 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | USD 2,482,800,000 |
| EBIT | USD 1,432,900,000 |
| Net income | USD 540,700,000 |
| Free cash flow | USD -534,600,000 |
| Capital expenditures | USD 1,359,400,000 |
| Debt | USD 5,279,500,000 |
| Cash | USD 276,600,000 |
| Working capital | USD 1,254,700,000 |
| Shares outstanding | 318,900,000 |
| Reported dividends per share | USD 0.8793 |