RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers apparel, including a range of men's, women's, and children's clothing; footwear and accessories, which comprise casual shoes, dress shoes, boots, sne… Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers apparel, including a range of men's, women's, and children's clothing; footwear and accessories, which comprise casual shoes, dress shoes, boots, sneakers, sandals, eyewear, watches, fashion and fine jewelry, scarves, hats, gloves, and umbrellas, as well as leather goods comprising handbags, luggage, small leather goods, and belts; home products, such as bed and bath lines, furniture, fabric and wall coverings, lighting, dining, floor coverings, decorative accessories, and giftware; and fragrances. The company sells apparel and accessories under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren, Double RL, Lauren Ralph Lauren, RLX Ralph Lauren, Polo Ralph Lauren Children, and Chaps brands; women's fragrances under the Ralph Lauren Collection, Woman by Ralph Lauren, Romance Collection, and Ralph Collection brand names; and men's fragrances under the Ralph's Club, Purple Label, Polo Blue, Polo Red, Polo Green, Polo Black, Polo 67, Safari, Polo Sport, and Big Pony Men's brand names. Its restaurant collection includes The Polo Bar in New York City; RL Restaurant in Chicago; Ralph's in Paris; The Bar at Ralph Lauren located in Milan; Ralph's Bar located in Chengdu, China; and Ralph's Coffee concept. The company sells its products to department stores, specialty stores, and golf and pro shops, as well as directly to consumers through its retail stores, concession-based shop-within-shops, and its digital commerce sites. It operates retail stores and concession-based shop-within-shops; and operates Ralph Lauren stores and shops through licensing partners. Ralph Lauren Corporation was founded in 1967 and is based in New York, New York.
Market price
USD 378.74
Overvalued by 44.4%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 44.4% below the market price
5-year outlook: 6.4% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 378.74
Fair value range161.80–293.47base 210.53
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook6.4% / yr≈ USD 516.99 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 6.09% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 6.09%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.1% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 6.9%, analyst revenue consensus 5.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 6.4% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.1%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 240.88 (-36.4%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 214.69 (-43.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 240.88 (-36.4%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 210.53 (-44.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 272.35 (-28.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 239.72 (-36.7%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 631.49 (+66.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 161.80–293.47
Base scenario / share USD 210.53
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 161.80-134.1%
Base USD 210.53-79.9%
Bull USD 293.47-29.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +6.7% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.7x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 18%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
RL (this company) USD 378.74 -57.2% 23.6 8.5 1.0% 90
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.69 45.7% 26.7 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
DKNG DraftKings Inc. USD 17.16 39.2% – 13.5 – 58
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 38.2% 12.2 5.0 – 100
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
CVNA Carvana USD 71.95 34.6% 9.5 3.7 – 87
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 110.00 34.4% 8.8 2.6 – 100
Peer median 12.2 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 3.83 per share · yield 1.01% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)2.913
20253.564
20243.225
20233.000
20222.938
20212.064
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:56

RevenueUSD 8,355,200,000
EBITDAUSD 1,479,800,000
EBITUSD 1,243,400,000
Net incomeUSD 982,900,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,043,200,001
Capital expendituresUSD 274,200,000
DebtUSD 3,003,900,000
CashUSD 1,941,600,000
Working capitalUSD 1,959,100,000
Shares outstanding61,300,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 3.5987