SNA

Snap-on

Snap-on Incorporated manufactures and markets tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information and systems solutions for professional users worldwide. It operates through Commercial & Industrial Group, Snap-on Tools Group, Repair Systems & Information Group, and Financial Services segments. Th… Snap-on Incorporated manufactures and markets tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information and systems solutions for professional users worldwide. It operates through Commercial & Industrial Group, Snap-on Tools Group, Repair Systems & Information Group, and Financial Services segments. The company offers hand tools, such as wrenches, sockets, ratchet wrenches, pliers, screwdrivers, punches and chisels, saws and cutting tools, pruning tools, torque tools, and other similar products; power tools, including cordless, pneumatic, and hydraulic and corded tools; impact wrenches, ratchets, screwdrivers, drills, sanders, and grinders. It also provides tool chests and roll cabinet stool storage products; facility-level tool control and asset management hardware and software; diagnostics, information, and management systems product comprising handheld and computer-based diagnostic products, service and repair information products, diagnostic software solutions, electronic parts catalogs, business management systems and services, point-of-sale systems, integrated systems for vehicle service shops, OEM purchasing facilitation services, and warranty management systems and analytics to help OEM dealerships manage and track performance. In addition, the company offers wheel alignment equipment, wheel balancers, tire changers, vehicle lifts, test lane equipment, collision repair equipment, vehicle air conditioning service equipment, brake service equipment, fluid exchange equipment, transmission troubleshooting equipment, safety testing equipment, battery chargers, and hoists; and training programs and after-sales support. It serves the vehicle service and repair, and industrial sectors through mobile van channel, company direct sales, distributors, and digital commerce. In addition, it distributes and services vehicle collision equipment in Australia. Snap-on Incorporated was incorporated in 1920 and is based in Kenosha, Wisconsin.
Market price
USD 366.44
Within modeled range
Base value (Free-cash-flow DCF) is 19.1% below the market price
5-year outlook: 8.8% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Last earnings: 22 Oct 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 366.44
Fair value range222.62–427.61base 296.36
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook8.8% / yr≈ USD 557.54 in 5 yrs

Other models: USD 271.52–341.79 (median 279.24). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

Free-cash-flow DCF

Market price within modeled range

Free-cash-flow DCF using TTM through 30 Sep 2026 reported free cash flow, with cash, debt, and shares from the latest report. Base assumptions are 4.14% growth, 2.7% terminal growth, and 10% discount. Low/high cases vary growth by 2 and terminal growth/discount by 1 percentage point; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 4.14%, discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.1% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 2.9%, analyst revenue consensus 3.7%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 8.8% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.1%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 296.36 (-19.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 271.52 (-25.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 296.36 (-19.1%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 279.24 (-23.8%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 341.79 (-6.7%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 295.72 (-19.3%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 644.67 (+75.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 222.62–427.61
Base scenario / share USD 296.36
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 222.62-64.6%
Base USD 296.36-23.6%
Bull USD 427.6114.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 9.4% FCF growth / yr

At USD 366.44 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.7%, discount 10.0%).

Compare: the market implies 9.4% a year, this model assumes 4.1%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Free-cash-flow DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.

Growth \ Discount 8.0%9.0%10.0%11.0%12.0%
0.1% 341.44 289.01 250.92 222.00 199.28
2.1% 372.62 314.80 272.81 240.94 215.92
4.1% 406.20 342.56 296.36 261.30 233.80
6.1% 442.34 372.40 321.66 283.17 252.97
8.1% 481.16 404.45 348.81 306.61 273.53

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 84 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -0.2% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 29%20 / 20

Peers in Industrials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SNA (this company) USD 366.44 -23.6% 19.0 3.2 3.7% 84
EZJ.L easyJet plc GBP 6.88 74.3% 10.6 1.5 1.7% 78
WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA NOK 160.80 64.8% 7.1 2.2 0.3% 100
IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. GBP 4.37 58.9% 8.0 3.5 1.8% 92
TPK.L Travis Perkins plc GBP 6.54 54.7% – 0.8 2.1% 46
SRP.L Serco Group plc GBP 2.77 46.2% 19.7 3.3 1.5% 82
DFDS.CO DFDS A/S DKK 157.30 45.9% – 0.6 – 64
DG.PA VINCI SA EUR 111.75 42.2% 12.9 2.1 4.2% 90
HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited NOK 89.00 40.8% 7.2 1.8 1.2% 100
Peer median 9.3 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 9.76 per share · yield 2.66% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)7.320
20258.860
20247.720
20236.720
20225.880
20215.110
Sector Industrials
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 12:55

RevenueUSD 5,064,500,000
EBITDAUSD 1,459,700,000
EBITUSD 1,358,800,000
Net incomeUSD 1,011,300,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,012,100,000
Capital expendituresUSD 82,500,000
DebtUSD 1,276,800,000
CashUSD 1,670,000,000
Working capitalUSD 3,274,600,000
Shares outstanding52,400,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 13.6412