Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Spain, Mexico, Turkey, South America, Europe, the United States, and Asia. The company offers traditional retail, wholesale, investment, and transaction banking. It also engages in financia…
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Spain, Mexico, Turkey, South America, Europe, the United States, and Asia. The company offers traditional retail, wholesale, investment, and transaction banking. It also engages in financial, insurance, asset management, and capital markets businesses, as well as digital banking. The company was formerly known as Banco Bilbao Vizcaya, S.A. and changed its name to Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. in January 2000. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Bilbao, Spain.Priced within the modelled range
5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Dividend discount model disagrees strongly.
Other models: EUR 29.97–104.68 (median 81.83). The recommended value is in line with them.
Why: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.
Details and the full model are below.
Market price within modeled range
Earnings-based DCF using TTM through 30 Sep 2026 net income, of which 70% is treated as distributable after reinvestment, with no extra debt or cash adjustment because net income is already after interest. Used because free cash flow or dividends do not give a usable base. Base assumptions are 5.76% growth, 2.4% terminal growth, and 9.6% discount; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.
Assumptions: growth 5.76%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.
Blended growth assumption: 5.8% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 4.2%, analyst revenue consensus 6.7%).
Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 5.8%.
Adjust assumptions
Why this model: Dividends are small or missing, and cash-flow models do not suit financials, so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.
Compare models- Recommended: Earnings-based DCF — EUR 24.19 (+4.9%)
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EPS-based Gordon proxy
— EUR 29.97 (+30.0%)
Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
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DCF (trailing free cash flow)
— EUR 114.82 (+398.1%)
Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
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FCFF (steady state)
— EUR 104.68 (+354.2%)
Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
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EV/EBITDA (12x)
— EUR 81.83 (+255.0%)
Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)
— EUR 114.46 (+396.6%)
Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)
— EUR 119.57 (+418.8%)
Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
| Bear EUR 17.93 | -28.5% |
| Base EUR 24.19 | 4.7% |
| Bull EUR 35.42 | 34.9% |
Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.
At EUR 23.05 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.4%, discount 9.6%).
Compare: the market implies 4.6% a year, this model assumes 5.8%. The model is more optimistic than the price, which is why it reads as undervalued.
How the Earnings-based DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.
| Growth \ Discount | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8% | 28.24 | 23.69 | 20.41 | 17.93 | 15.99 |
| 3.8% | 30.85 | 25.84 | 22.23 | 19.50 | 17.37 |
| 5.8% | 33.66 | 28.16 | 24.19 | 21.19 | 18.85 |
| 7.8% | 36.68 | 30.64 | 26.29 | 23.00 | 20.43 |
| 9.8% | 39.92 | 33.31 | 28.54 | 24.94 | 22.13 |
Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.
Price history and fair value
No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.
More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials
Quality score: 96 / 100
Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.
| Profitability | 5 of 5 years profitable | 20 / 20 |
| Cash generation | free cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years | 16 / 20 |
| Growth | revenue +14.1% a year | 20 / 20 |
| Balance sheet | net cash | 20 / 20 |
| Margins | EBITDA margin 47% | 20 / 20 |
Peers in Financials
Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.
| Company | Price | Margin of safety | P/E | P/B | Yield | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA.MC (this company) | EUR 23.05 | 4.7% | 10.9 | 2.2 | 3.2% | 96 |
| PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. | GBP 38.88 | 68.1% | 3.7 | 0.6 | 1.3% | 76 |
| LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited | GBP 6.89 | 45.5% | 7.1 | 1.6 | 3.3% | 76 |
| ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. | EUR 15.88 | 36.0% | 6.8 | 0.7 | 6.9% | 78 |
| PRU.L Prudential plc | GBP 9.29 | 33.8% | 8.1 | 1.6 | 1.9% | 78 |
| V Visa Inc. | USD 422.59 | 33.3% | 8.9 | – | 0.2% | 100 |
| AGS.BR ageas SA/NV | EUR 77.60 | 32.5% | 8.2 | 1.5 | 5.0% | 76 |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | USD 74.07 | 29.9% | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.1% | 100 |
| NWG.L NatWest Group plc | GBP 5.92 | 29.6% | 8.3 | 1.3 | 4.9% | 88 |
| Peer median | 7.6 | 1.4 | ||||
Dividends
Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 0.97 per share · yield 4.21% at the current price.
| Year | Dividends per share |
|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 0.970 |
| 2025 | 0.730 |
| 2024 | 0.680 |
| 2023 | 0.470 |
| 2022 | 0.350 |
| 2021 | 0.139 |
Trailing 12-month financials
TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:55
| Revenue | EUR 41,982,000,000 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | EUR 19,920,000,000 |
| EBIT | EUR 18,259,000,000 |
| Net income | EUR 11,599,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | EUR 25,650,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | EUR 1,002,000,000 |
| Debt | EUR 110,874,000,000 |
| Cash | EUR 322,226,000,000 |
| Working capital | EUR -388,532,000,000 |
| Shares outstanding | 5,503,834,000 |