SHB-A.ST

Svenska Handelsbanken AB

Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) provides various banking products and services for private and corporate customers primarily in Sweden, the United Kingdom, Norway, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers personal and corporate banking, and financial institutions. It provides green … Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) provides various banking products and services for private and corporate customers primarily in Sweden, the United Kingdom, Norway, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers personal and corporate banking, and financial institutions. It provides green loans, pension, advisory, investment and other financing services. In addition, the company's financial services, includes asset management, transaction banking, corporate finance, financing, markets, trade finance, market information and research services to large corporations; trading and execution. Further, it provides cash management, and securities finance solutions; and various corporate banking services to small and medium-sized companies and large corporates, as well as digital and private banking services. Svenska Handelsbanken AB (publ) was incorporated in 1871 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Market price
SEK 160.10
Within modeled range
Base value (Justified P/B (ROE)) is 17.7% below the market price
5-year outlook: 9.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 7 min ago). Next earnings: 03 Feb 2027 (in 89 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceSEK 160.10
Fair value range113.48–164.21base 131.80
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook9.1% / yr≈ SEK 247.69 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

Justified P/B (ROE)

Market price within modeled range

Justified P/B (ROE) using TTM through 30 Sep 2026 net income and book equity: return on equity of 12.4% gives a fair price-to-book of 1.39x, with 2.4% growth (capped at the terminal rate) and 9.6% discount. The range varies growth and discount by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 5.09% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 5.1% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 4.8%, analyst revenue consensus 5.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
Illustrative range / share SEK 113.48–164.21
Base scenario / share SEK 131.80
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear SEK 113.48-41.1%
Base SEK 131.80-21.5%
Bull SEK 164.212.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 3 of 5 years12 / 20
Growthrevenue +28.4% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 35.9x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 23%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SHB-A.ST (this company) SEK 160.10 -21.5% 13.6 1.7 9.4% 72
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.88 68.2% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.89 45.5% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.88 36.0% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.29 34.0% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.60 32.5% 8.2 1.5 5.0% 76
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.92 29.6% 8.3 1.3 4.9% 88
Peer median 7.6 1.4

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: SEK 17.50 per share · yield 10.93% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)17.500
202515.000
202413.000
20238.000
20225.000
20213.018
Sector Financials
Exchange Nasdaq Stockholm
Currency SEK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 14:27

RevenueSEK 133,987,000,000
EBITDASEK 31,331,000,000
EBITSEK 29,908,000,000
Net incomeSEK 23,307,000,000
Free cash flowSEK 17,470,000,000
Capital expendituresSEK 676,000,000
DebtSEK 1,642,832,000,000
CashSEK 517,108,000,000
Working capitalSEK -313,361,000,000
Shares outstanding1,980,028,000