Loomis AB
Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides transportation of cash and valuables with logistics systems to and from central banks, financial institutions, retailers, restau…
Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides transportation of cash and valuables with logistics systems to and from central banks, financial institutions, retailers, restaurants and other businesses; cash management services, and vault and cash storage outsourcing for central banks and commercial banks; and international valuables logistics services, including collection and coordination of cross-border transportation, as well as customs clearance, storage, and secure delivery. It also offers automated teller machine services; automated cash-handling solutions, such as SafePoint, cash recyclers, and front office solutions; foreign exchange services; and Loomis Pay, an end-to-end payment solution that handles all types of payment instruments comprising cards, cash, and digital options in one system. Loomis AB (publ) was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.Priced within the modelled range
5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.
Other models: SEK 326.56–958.02 (median 525.60). The recommended value is in line with them.
Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
Details and the full model are below.
Market price within modeled range
Free-cash-flow DCF using Fiscal year 2025 reported free cash flow, with cash, debt, and shares from the latest report. Base assumptions are 3% growth, 2.7% terminal growth, and 10% discount. Low/high cases vary growth by 2 and terminal growth/discount by 1 percentage point; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.
Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 7.24% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10%, terminal growth 2.70%. See a worked example.
Blended growth assumption: 7.2% (sector default 6.2%, own revenue history 6.3%, analyst revenue consensus 8.2%).
Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 8.2% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.
Adjust assumptions
Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.
Compare models- Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — SEK 534.10 (+5.3%)
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EPS-based Gordon proxy
— SEK 326.56 (-35.6%)
Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
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DCF (trailing free cash flow)
— SEK 534.10 (+5.3%)
Not used: Free cash flow is 2.0x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
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FCFF (steady state)
— SEK 525.60 (+3.7%)
Not used: Free cash flow is 2.0x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
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EV/EBITDA (12x)
— SEK 958.02 (+89.0%)
Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
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Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)
— SEK 533.78 (+5.3%)
Not used: Free cash flow is 2.0x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)
— SEK 1954.95 (+285.6%)
Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
| Bear SEK 363.58 | -39.4% |
| Base SEK 534.10 | 5.1% |
| Bull SEK 837.53 | 39.5% |
Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.
At SEK 507.00 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.7%, discount 10.0%).
Compare: the market implies 2.0% a year, this model assumes 3.0%. The model is more optimistic than the price, which is why it reads as undervalued.
How the Free-cash-flow DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.
| Growth \ Discount | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.0% | 636.21 | 515.65 | 428.05 | 361.52 | 309.25 |
| 1.0% | 708.89 | 575.79 | 479.13 | 405.74 | 348.11 |
| 3.0% | 787.23 | 640.57 | 534.10 | 453.29 | 389.87 |
| 5.0% | 871.56 | 710.27 | 593.20 | 504.39 | 434.70 |
| 7.0% | 962.25 | 785.16 | 656.67 | 559.22 | 482.78 |
Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.
Price history and fair value
No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.
More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials
Quality score: 100 / 100
Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.
| Profitability | 5 of 5 years profitable | 20 / 20 |
| Cash generation | free cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years | 20 / 20 |
| Growth | revenue +5.3% a year | 20 / 20 |
| Balance sheet | net debt 0.9x EBITDA | 20 / 20 |
| Margins | EBITDA margin 21% | 20 / 20 |
Peers in Industrials
Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.
| Company | Price | Margin of safety | P/E | P/B | Yield | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOOMIS.ST (this company) | SEK 507.00 | 5.1% | 21.8 | – | 2.8% | 100 |
| EZJ.L easyJet plc | GBP 6.84 | 74.5% | 10.6 | 1.5 | 1.7% | 78 |
| WAWI.OL Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA | NOK 160.60 | 64.7% | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.3% | 100 |
| IAG.L International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. | GBP 4.31 | 59.5% | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.8% | 92 |
| TPK.L Travis Perkins plc | GBP 6.45 | 55.4% | – | 0.8 | 2.1% | 46 |
| DFDS.CO DFDS A/S | DKK 153.20 | 47.3% | – | 0.6 | – | 64 |
| SRP.L Serco Group plc | GBP 2.79 | 45.8% | 19.8 | 3.3 | 1.5% | 82 |
| DG.PA VINCI SA | EUR 110.60 | 42.8% | 12.8 | 2.0 | 4.2% | 90 |
| HAFNI.OL Hafnia Limited | NOK 88.95 | 40.9% | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.2% | 100 |
| Peer median | 9.2 | 1.9 | ||||
Dividends
Paid in the last 12 months: SEK 20.00 per share · yield 3.94% at the current price.
| Year | Dividends per share |
|---|---|
| 2026 (so far) | 20.000 |
| 2025 | 14.000 |
| 2024 | 12.500 |
| 2023 | 12.000 |
| 2022 | 8.500 |
| 2021 | 6.000 |
Annual financial statement
Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025
| Revenue | SEK 30,427,000,000 |
|---|---|
| EBITDA | SEK 6,211,000,000 |
| EBIT | SEK 3,025,000,000 |
| Net income | SEK 1,582,000,000 |
| Free cash flow | SEK 3,203,000,000 |
| Capital expenditures | SEK -1,406,000,000 |
| Debt | SEK 16,747,000,000 |
| Cash | SEK 7,507,000,000 |
| Working capital | SEK 1,317,000,000 |
| Shares outstanding | 68,153,345 |
| Reported dividends per share | SEK 14.0000 |