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YAR.OL

Yara International ASA

Yara International ASA provides crop nutrition, ammonia, and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers ammonium- and urea-based fertilizers; compound fertilizers that contain nutrients, such as … Yara International ASA provides crop nutrition, ammonia, and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers ammonium- and urea-based fertilizers; compound fertilizers that contain nutrients, such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; coatings; biostimulants; organic-based fertilizers; climate choice fertilizers; and nitrate-based fertilizers, as well as foliar and fertigation solutions; and nitrate, calcium nitrate, micronutrient, and urea fertilizers. It also provides digital solutions, such as YaraFX Insight, an agricultural API that connects unparalleled crop nutrition expertise with digital platforms; N-sensors, a tractor-mounted sensor; N-Tester, a handheld tool that measures chlorophyll content; YaraPlus, a digital platform to support crop nutrition decisions; Atfarm, a digital toolbox for farmer; Tankmix, an app and web solutions that provides guidelines; Yara E-commerce, a platform that enables customer access to nutritional solutions; Yara FarmCare, a mobile app for farmers; Yara AllFarm, a farm management platform; YaraConnect, a mobile app for retailers; and Yara Crop Nutrition Recommendation System, a service that helps farmers to make decisions for crop management. The company sells its products under YaraBela, YaraMila, YaraLiva, YaraVita, YaraAmplix, YaraRega, YaraTera, YaraSuna, and YaraVera brand names. Yara International ASA was founded in 1905 and is based in Oslo, Norway.
Market price
NOK 396.60
Undervalued by 243.8%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 243.8% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:42; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 15 min ago). Last earnings: 21 Oct 2026
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceNOK 396.60
Fair value range1124.55–1602.43base 1363.49
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF agrees.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 2% growth, 2.6% terminal growth and 9.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 9.80%, terminal growth 2.60% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 5.8%, own revenue history -1.5%, analyst revenue consensus 0.3%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 0.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — NOK 340.10 (-14.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — NOK 683.90 (+72.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — NOK 405.84 (+2.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — NOK 418.24 (+5.5%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — NOK 1363.49 (+243.8%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — NOK 406.32 (+2.5%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — NOK 2569.76 (+547.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share NOK 1124.55–1602.43
Base scenario / share NOK 1363.49
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear NOK 1124.5564.7%
Base NOK 1363.4970.9%
Bull NOK 1602.4375.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 74 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -7.9% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.6x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 19%10 / 20

Peers in Materials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
YAR.OL (this company) NOK 396.60 -16.6% 7.6 1.2 1.2% 74
MT.AS ArcelorMittal S.A. EUR 54.26 41.2% 25.6 0.8 1.1% 70
CF CF Industries USD 117.79 -2.3% 8.2 2.0 2.2% 84
HOLN.SW Holcim AG CHF 72.98 -7.2% 3.1 – 4.2% 74
UPM.HE UPM-Kymmene Oyj EUR 22.37 -10.4% 17.1 1.2 6.7% 70
AMCR Amcor USD 44.22 -16.6% 18.9 0.6 6.0% 90
MOS Mosaic Company (The) USD 21.96 -33.2% 13.0 – 4.0% 79
VSVS.L Vesuvius plc GBP 4.49 -36.1% 21.5 1.0 5.2% 68
SSAB-A.ST SSAB AB SEK 90.56 -56.7% 15.9 1.2 2.9% 62
Peer median 16.5 1.1

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: NOK 22.00 per share · yield 5.55% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)22.000
20255.000
20245.000
202355.000
202240.000
202140.000
Sector Materials
Exchange Euronext Oslo
Currency NOK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 16:56

RevenueNOK 159,492,326,286
EBITDANOK 30,424,920,519
EBITNOK 19,609,479,975
Net incomeNOK 13,318,577,439
Free cash flowNOK 8,727,918,833
Capital expendituresNOK 15,708,364,739
DebtNOK 26,117,635,901
CashNOK 8,255,628,852
Working capitalNOK 33,560,925,987
Shares outstanding254,667,427