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ORK.OL

Orkla ASA

Orkla ASA operates as an industrial investment company within brands and consumer-oriented businesses worldwide. It offers decorative paints, marine coatings, protective coatings, and powder coatings; frozen pizza, condiments, bread toppings, and ready-to-eat meals; bakery, ice cream, and plant-bas… Orkla ASA operates as an industrial investment company within brands and consumer-oriented businesses worldwide. It offers decorative paints, marine coatings, protective coatings, and powder coatings; frozen pizza, condiments, bread toppings, and ready-to-eat meals; bakery, ice cream, and plant-based products; and confectionery, biscuits, and salty snacks. The company also provides branded consumer health products, such as daily nutrition and oral health, wound care, and functional personal care under the Möller's, Jordan, and Salvequick brand names; spices and spice blends, ready-to-eat sweets, breakfast mixes, and other; and cleaning and personal hygiene products, such as detergents, cleaning equipment, and personal care products. In addition, it operates a franchised pizza business; offers paintbrushes, rollers, and other painting project consumables comprising sanding equipment, tape, protective gear, and cleaning products; and health and sports nutrition products. The company was founded in 1654 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
Market price
NOK 102.30
Undervalued by 31.6%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 31.6% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 20 min ago). Next earnings: 06 Nov 2026 (today)
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceNOK 102.30
Fair value range110.07–159.24base 134.66
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 4.21% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 4.21%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.2% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 7.0%, analyst revenue consensus 2.3%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.3% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — NOK 150.59 (+47.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — NOK 105.97 (+3.6%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — NOK 98.43 (-3.8%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — NOK 90.13 (-11.9%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — NOK 134.66 (+31.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — NOK 98.14 (-4.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — NOK 294.54 (+187.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share NOK 110.07–159.24
Base scenario / share NOK 134.66
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear NOK 110.077.1%
Base NOK 134.6624.0%
Bull NOK 159.2435.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 82 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.9% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.0x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 17%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ORK.OL (this company) NOK 102.30 32.1% 14.5 2.3 9.8% 82
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 24.46 27.8% – 0.8 6.5% 36
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.49 24.7% 28.9 0.8 8.8% 72
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.60 20.0% 14.9 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.55 16.7% 13.8 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.20 8.1% 24.9 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 135.65 1.9% 16.1 7.6 – 72
CCH.L Coca-Cola HBC AG GBP 41.00 -0.3% 19.3 4.6 2.1% 90
Peer median 19.3 3.0

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: NOK 4.00 per share · yield 3.91% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)4.000
20256.000
20246.000
20233.000
20223.000
20212.750
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange Euronext Oslo
Currency NOK

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:52

RevenueNOK 70,821,000,000
EBITDANOK 11,904,000,000
EBITNOK 9,188,000,000
Net incomeNOK 6,816,000,000
Free cash flowNOK 6,622,000,000
Capital expendituresNOK 2,758,000,000
DebtNOK 13,873,000,000
CashNOK 1,447,000,000
Working capitalNOK 2,567,000,000
Shares outstanding968,563,020