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LLOY.L

Lloyds Banking Group plc

Lloyds Banking Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking and financial products and services for retail and commercial customers in the United Kingdom. It operates in three segments: Retail; Commercial Banking; and Insurance, Pensions and Investments. The Retail segment… Lloyds Banking Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking and financial products and services for retail and commercial customers in the United Kingdom. It operates in three segments: Retail; Commercial Banking; and Insurance, Pensions and Investments. The Retail segment offers a range of financial service products, including current accounts, savings, mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, motor finance, and leasing solutions to personal customers. Its Commercial Banking segment provides lending, transactional banking, working capital management, debt financing, and risk management services to small and medium businesses, corporates, and institutions. The Insurance, Pensions and Investments segment offers insurance, investment, and pension management products and services. It also provides life assurance; and digital banking services. The company offers its products and services under the Lloyds Bank, Halifax, Bank of Scotland, Scottish Widows, MBNA, Schroders Personal Wealth, Black Horse, Lex Autolease, Birmingham Midshires, LDC, AMC, Embark Group, Lloyds Living, Cavendish Online, Tusker, and HGP brands. The company was formerly known as Lloyds TSB Group plc and changed its name to Lloyds Banking Group plc in January 2009. Lloyds Banking Group plc was founded in 1695 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 0.96
Within modeled range
Base value (Justified P/B (ROE)) is 14.9% below the market price
5-year outlook: 10.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 1 h ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceGBP 0.96
Fair value range0.73–0.98base 0.82
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook10.6% / yr≈ GBP 1.59 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

Justified P/B (ROE)

Market price within modeled range

Justified P/B (ROE) using Fiscal year 2025 net income and book equity: return on equity of 9.8% gives a fair price-to-book of 1.02x, with 2.4% growth (capped at the terminal rate) and 9.6% discount. The range varies growth and discount by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 10.82%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 10.8% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 21.6%, analyst revenue consensus 8.1%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 10.6% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 8.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 10.8%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — GBP 0.82 (-14.9%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 1.11 (+15.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 2.36 (+145.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 0.73–0.98
Base scenario / share GBP 0.82
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear GBP 0.73-32.3%
Base GBP 0.82-17.6%
Bull GBP 0.981.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 62 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 3 of 5 years12 / 20
Growthrevenue +21.6% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 12.2x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 16%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
LLOY.L (this company) GBP 0.96 -17.6% 12.3 1.2 3.5% 62
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.00 per share · yield 0.04% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.000
20250.000
20240.000
20230.000
20220.000
20210.000
Sector Financials
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueGBP 40,957,000,000
EBITDAGBP 6,661,000,000
EBITGBP 6,661,000,000
Net incomeGBP 4,659,000,000
Free cash flowGBP -639,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 5,071,000,000
DebtGBP 141,605,000,000
CashGBP 60,596,000,000
Working capitalGBP -447,648,000,000
Shares outstanding59,790,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.0335