ABF.L

Associated British Foods plc

About the company

Associated British Foods plc engages in the food, ingredients, and retail businesses worldwide. It operates through five segments: Retail, Grocery, Ingredients, Sugar, and Agriculture. The Retail segment is involved in buying and merchandising clothing and accessories through the Primark and Penneys retail chains, which offer women's, men's, and kidswear, as well as beauty, homeware, and accessories. The Grocery segment manufactures grocery products, including hot beverages, sugar, vegetable oils, balsamic vinegars, bread and baked goods, cereals, ethnic food and meat products to retail, wholesale, and foodservice businesses. The Ingredients segment manufactures yeast and bakery ingredients, specialty ingredients focused on enzymes, procession extracts, health and nutrition, and pharmaceutical delivery systems. The Sugar segment is involved in growing and processing sugar beet and sugar cane. The Agriculture segment manufactures specialty feed ingredients, premix, and compound animal feed; and other products and services for the agriculture sector. The company was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. Associated British Foods plc operates as a subsidiary of Wittington Investments Limited.

Market price
GBP 19.90
Price within modeled range
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 0.2% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; FY2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 1 day ago). Last earnings: 03 Nov 2026
Model comparison

Price within modeled range

PriceGBP 19.90
Modeled value rangeGBP 15.20–23.29base 19.86
Estimate reliabilityLow
Relative 5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF is somewhat apart.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

Forecast Compare Investment journal Create account to save Log in to save

After signing in, return here and select “Add to watchlist”. Saving companies requires a verified email address.

EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price within modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 3.51% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.51%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.5% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 3.6%, analyst revenue consensus 2.6%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 24.51 (+23.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 19.86 (-0.2%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 24.51 (+23.2%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 23.18 (+16.5%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 37.58 (+88.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 24.46 (+22.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 84.83 (+326.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 15.20–23.29
Base scenario / share GBP 19.86
Margin of safety (share of value) Price between the base and bull cases
Bear GBP 15.20-30.9%
Base GBP 19.86-0.2%
Bull GBP 23.2914.6%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

3 months price change: -4.46% · GBP 19.90 · Market data through 06 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (GBP 19.86). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 06 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (1 hour, 20 minutes ago).

10 Aug 2026Range GBP 18.06 – 20.8306 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 82 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +3.6% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.2x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ABF.L (this company) GBP 19.90 18.8% 15.1 1.2 3.2% 82
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 102.60 31.9% 14.6 2.3 9.7% 82
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 25.32 25.2% – 0.8 6.3% 36
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.64 23.8% 29.2 0.8 8.7% 72
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.47 16.8% 13.7 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.80 7.9% 25.0 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 137.94 0.3% 16.3 7.7 – 72
CCH.L Coca-Cola HBC AG GBP 41.88 -2.4% 19.7 4.7 2.0% 90
Peer median 19.7 3.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.01 per share · yield 0.03% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.002
20250.006
20240.009
20230.006
20220.004
20210.004
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 30 Sep 2026

RevenueGBP 19,582,000,000
EBITDAGBP 2,445,000,000
EBITGBP 1,391,000,000
Net incomeGBP 930,000,000
Free cash flowGBP 1,274,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 1,162,000,000
DebtGBP 3,853,000,000
CashGBP 1,010,000,000
Working capitalGBP 2,092,000,000
Shares outstanding705,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.6326