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HBR.L

Harbour Energy plc

Harbour Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Norway, the United Kingdom, Germany, Mexico, Argentina, North Africa, and Southeast Asia. The company also engages in the production and sale of crude … Harbour Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves in Norway, the United Kingdom, Germany, Mexico, Argentina, North Africa, and Southeast Asia. The company also engages in the production and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and condensate, as well as the development and management of carbon capture and storage projects. It is involved in the decommissioning; financing and servicing; distribution, transportation, and trade; gas trading; and risk mitigation activities. The company was formerly known as Chrysaor Holdings Limited and changed its name to Harbour Energy plc in March 2021. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 2.62
Undervalued by 1277.0%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 1277.0% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 23 min ago).
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceGBP 2.62
Fair value range30.10–42.06base 36.08
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: EV/EBITDA (12x) disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 3.86% growth, 2.5% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 3.86%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.50% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.9% (sector default 4.6%, own revenue history 30.9%, analyst revenue consensus -10.0%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -10.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.9%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 6.87 (+162.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 13.58 (+418.5%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 12.83 (+389.5%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 36.08 (+1277.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 13.56 (+417.5%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 63.51 (+2323.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 30.10–42.06
Base scenario / share GBP 36.08
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear GBP 30.1091.3%
Base GBP 36.0892.7%
Bull GBP 42.0693.8%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 92 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability3 of 5 years profitable12 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +30.9% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 66%20 / 20

Peers in Energy

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
HBR.L (this company) GBP 2.62 61.9% – 1.4 7.9% 92
FANG Diamondback Energy USD 178.39 37.1% 24.3 1.3 2.4% 100
SHEL.L Shell plc GBP 36.78 33.2% 8.5 1.4 3.0% 84
AKSO.OL Aker Solutions ASA NOK 35.96 22.8% 6.8 1.5 9.1% 75
BP.L BP p.l.c. GBP 5.52 19.4% – – 4.4% 69
BWLPG.OL BW LPG Limited NOK 206.40 8.2% 7.5 1.7 1.3% 100
EOG EOG Resources USD 144.79 6.2% 11.1 2.4 2.8% 92
TTE.PA TotalEnergies SE EUR 78.59 6.1% 8.8 1.5 4.3% 84
ENB.TO Enbridge Inc. CAD 66.75 -10.4% 19.5 2.3 5.9% 80
Peer median 8.8 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.00 per share · yield 0.05% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.001
20250.002
20240.002
20230.002
20220.002
Sector Energy
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueGBP 7,630,927,830
EBITDAGBP 5,013,136,690
EBITGBP 2,497,358,129
Net incomeGBP -139,021,907
Free cash flowGBP 1,383,344,376
Capital expendituresGBP 1,096,134,276
DebtGBP 651,136,334
CashGBP 996,163,747
Working capitalGBP 113,761,751
Shares outstanding1,677,000,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.2072