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WTB.L

Whitbread plc

Whitbread plc operates hotels and restaurants in the United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates hotels under the Premier Inn, ZIP by Premier Inn, and hub by Premier Inn brands. It also operates restaurants under the Brewers Fayre, Beefeater, Cookhouse and Pub, Bar+B… Whitbread plc operates hotels and restaurants in the United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and internationally. The company operates hotels under the Premier Inn, ZIP by Premier Inn, and hub by Premier Inn brands. It also operates restaurants under the Brewers Fayre, Beefeater, Cookhouse and Pub, Bar+Block Steakhouse, Thyme, Whitebread Inns, and Table Table brands. Whitbread plc was founded in 1742 and is headquartered in Dunstable, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 28.00
Overvalued by 42.3%
Base value (EPS-based Gordon proxy) is 42.3% below the market price
5-year outlook: 5.2% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; FY2026, period ended 28 Feb 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 45 min ago). Last earnings: 13 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceGBP 28.00
Fair value range12.74–18.54base 16.17
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook5.2% / yr≈ GBP 36.15 in 5 yrs

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

EPS-based Gordon proxy

Market price above modeled range

Showing the EPS-based Gordon proxy you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 6.75% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.8% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 14.4%, analyst revenue consensus 2.7%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 5.2% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — GBP 12.82 (-54.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 16.17 (-42.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 42.30 (+51.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 100.63 (+259.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 12.74–18.54
Base scenario / share GBP 16.17
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear GBP 12.74-119.7%
Base GBP 16.17-73.2%
Bull GBP 18.54-51.0%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +14.4% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 5.0x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 36%20 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
WTB.L (this company) GBP 28.00 -118.4% 22.9 1.6 3.5% 80
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.72 45.2% 27.0 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 23.01 43.6% 14.0 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.41 37.3% 9.0 1.9 4.1% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.49 36.6% 108.5 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 34.9% 11.2 5.1 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 111.77 33.3% 8.9 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 29.6% 15.8 20.2 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 14.9 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.01 per share · yield 0.03% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.010
20250.010
20240.010
20230.008
20220.006
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 28 Feb 2026

RevenueGBP 2,920,200,000
EBITDAGBP 1,049,000,000
EBITGBP 622,800,000
Net incomeGBP 212,900,000
Free cash flowGBP 98,500,000
Capital expendituresGBP 655,700,000
DebtGBP 5,466,100,000
CashGBP 233,700,000
Working capitalGBP -501,800,000
Shares outstanding173,900,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.9707