BWY.L

Bellway p.l.c.

Bellway p.l.c., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United Kingdom. The company builds one-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments; and five-bedroom family home. It offers its homes under the Bellway and Ashberry brands. The company was founded in 1946 and is head… Bellway p.l.c., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United Kingdom. The company builds one-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments; and five-bedroom family home. It offers its homes under the Bellway and Ashberry brands. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Newcastle upon Tyne, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 22.72
Undervalued by 52.0%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 52.0% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; FY2026, period ended 31 Jul 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 17 min ago). Last earnings: 13 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceGBP 22.72
Fair value range29.00–40.07base 34.53
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 3.97% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.97%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.0% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history -2.8%, analyst revenue consensus 5.7%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 5.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — GBP 40.82 (+79.7%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 22.04 (-3.0%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 40.82 (+79.7%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 39.40 (+73.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 34.53 (+52.0%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 40.77 (+79.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 78.03 (+243.4%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 29.00–40.07
Base scenario / share GBP 34.53
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear GBP 29.0021.7%
Base GBP 34.5334.2%
Bull GBP 40.0743.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 70 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -2.8% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 10%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
BWY.L (this company) GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.70 45.5% 26.8 1.1 3.3% 74
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 36.4% 10.9 5.0 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 109.52 34.7% 8.7 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 268.04 30.8% 15.6 19.8 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 166.20 29.9% 17.4 – 1.0% 100
LVS Las Vegas Sands USD 40.03 26.3% 15.6 – 3.5% 86
Peer median 15.6 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.01 per share · yield 0.03% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.002
20250.007
20240.005
20230.014
20220.014
20210.012
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2026 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Jul 2026

RevenueGBP 3,162,200,000
EBITDAGBP 325,000,000
EBITGBP 306,900,000
Net incomeGBP 193,400,000
Free cash flowGBP 334,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 6,300,000
DebtGBP 130,000,000
CashGBP 287,700,000
Working capitalGBP 4,009,200,000
Shares outstanding117,501,410
Reported dividends per shareGBP 0.7140