ADS.DE

adidas AG

adidas AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets a range of athletic and sports lifestyle products in Europe, Greater China, Japan, South Korea, Latin America, North America, and internationally. The company offers footwear and apparel, as well as accessories and … adidas AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, produces, and markets a range of athletic and sports lifestyle products in Europe, Greater China, Japan, South Korea, Latin America, North America, and internationally. The company offers footwear and apparel, as well as accessories and gear, including bags, balls, sunglasses, and fitness equipment under the adidas brand; golf footwear and apparel under the adidas Golf brand; and outdoor footwear under the Five Ten brand. It sells its products through its own retail stores, mono-branded franchise stores, shop-in-shops, joint ventures with retail partners, and co-branded stores, as well as through its wholesale and e-commerce platforms. The company was formerly known as adidas-Salomon AG and changed its name to adidas AG in June 2006. adidas AG was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Herzogenaurach, Germany.
Market price
EUR 173.85
Undervalued by 219.0%
Base value (EV/Sales (Rule of 40)) is 219.0% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 21 min ago). Last earnings: 28 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 173.85
Fair value range410.68–698.56base 554.62
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/Sales (Rule of 40)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 6.31% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 6.31%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.3% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 3.3%, analyst revenue consensus 7.4%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 7.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.3%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — EUR 186.37 (+7.2%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 125.66 (-27.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 202.74 (+16.6%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 174.64 (+0.5%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 207.65 (+19.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 201.67 (+16.0%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 554.62 (+219.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 410.68–698.56
Base scenario / share EUR 554.62
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 410.6857.7%
Base EUR 554.6268.7%
Bull EUR 698.5675.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 74 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability4 of 5 years profitable16 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.3% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.1x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 12%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ADS.DE (this company) EUR 173.85 6.7% 18.5 4.8 1.2% 74
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.70 45.5% 26.8 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 36.4% 10.9 5.0 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 109.52 34.7% 8.7 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 268.04 30.8% 15.6 19.8 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 166.20 29.9% 17.4 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 14.7 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 2.80 per share · yield 1.61% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)2.800
20252.000
20240.700
20230.700
20223.300
20213.000
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange Xetra
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:18

RevenueEUR 26,663,000,000
EBITDAEUR 3,299,000,000
EBITEUR 2,446,000,000
Net incomeEUR 1,624,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 2,530,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 467,000,000
DebtEUR 5,984,000,000
CashEUR 2,327,000,000
Working capitalEUR 3,891,000,000
Shares outstanding173,039,216