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MBG.DE

Mercedes-Benz Group AG

Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Europe, Germany, North America, the United States, Asia, China, and internationally. It operates through Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services segments. The company develops, manufactures, and sells c… Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Europe, Germany, North America, the United States, Asia, China, and internationally. It operates through Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services segments. The company develops, manufactures, and sells cars and vans under the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, G-Class brands, as well as related spare parts and accessories. It also provides financing, leasing, vehicle subscription and rental, fleet management, insurance, and digital services related to charging electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Daimler AG and changed its name to Mercedes-Benz Group AG in February 2022. Mercedes-Benz Group AG was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany.
Market price
EUR 41.30
Undervalued by 125.3%
Base value (EV/EBITDA (12x)) is 125.3% above the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 19 min ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 41.30
Fair value range64.31–121.76base 93.04
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF agrees.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

EV/EBITDA (12x)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/EBITDA (12x) you selected on the company card, using 2.17% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2.17%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.2% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history -4.1%, analyst revenue consensus 2.8%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — EUR 50.91 (+23.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 66.48 (+61.0%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 93.04 (+125.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 266.00 (+544.1%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 64.31–121.76
Base scenario / share EUR 93.04
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 64.3135.8%
Base EUR 93.0455.6%
Bull EUR 121.7666.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 54 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -3.9% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 5.5x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 11%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
MBG.DE (this company) EUR 41.30 18.9% 7.4 0.4 10.4% 54
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.70 45.5% 26.8 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.72 44.3% 13.8 0.8 3.1% 70
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.33 38.1% 8.8 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.37 36.9% 108.0 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 85.74 36.4% 10.9 5.0 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 109.52 34.7% 8.7 2.6 – 100
EXPE Expedia Group USD 268.04 30.8% 15.6 19.8 0.7% 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 166.20 29.9% 17.4 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 14.7 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 3.50 per share · yield 8.47% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)3.500
20254.300
20245.270
20235.200
20225.000
20211.131
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange Xetra
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 15:33

RevenueEUR 128,051,000,000
EBITDAEUR 13,751,000,000
EBITEUR 6,470,000,000
Net incomeEUR 5,376,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 4,826,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 5,561,000,000
DebtEUR 96,860,000,000
CashEUR 20,914,000,000
Working capitalEUR 23,593,000,000
Shares outstanding957,330,201