AD.AS

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. operates retail food stores and e-commerce in the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally. The company's stores offer produce, dairy, meat, deli, bakery, seafood, and frozen products; grocery, beer, and wine; floral, pet food, health and beauty care, kitc… Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. operates retail food stores and e-commerce in the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally. The company's stores offer produce, dairy, meat, deli, bakery, seafood, and frozen products; grocery, beer, and wine; floral, pet food, health and beauty care, kitchen and cookware, gardening tools, general merchandise articles, electronics, newspapers and magazines, and tobacco; gasoline; and pharmacy products. It operates its supermarkets, convenience stores, and online stores under the Albert, Albert Heijin, Alfa Beta Vassilopoulos, bol, Delhaize, ENA, Food Lion, Gall & Gall, Giant Food, The GIANT Company, Hannaford, Maxi, Mega Image, Stop & Shop, Profi, and Super Indo brands. The company was formerly known as Koninklijke Ahold N.V. and changed its name to Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. in July 2016. The company was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Zaandam, the Netherlands.
Market price
EUR 33.61
Undervalued by 100.7%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 100.7% above the market price
5-year outlook: 8.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 5 min ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceEUR 33.61
Fair value range48.42–102.40base 67.47
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook8.6% / yr≈ EUR 50.68 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow cannot be used (negative or far below earnings, with too little history to normalise it), so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Details and the full model are below.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 3.03% growth, 2.4% terminal growth and 9.2% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.03%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.0% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history 2.0%, analyst revenue consensus 2.4%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 8.6% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 2.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow cannot be used (negative or far below earnings, with too little history to normalise it), so value is based on reinvestment-adjusted earnings.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Earnings-based DCF — EUR 27.54 (-18.1%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 38.29 (+13.9%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 69.70 (+107.4%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 67.47 (+100.7%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 83.58 (+148.7%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 69.62 (+107.1%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.1x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 211.31 (+528.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 48.42–102.40
Base scenario / share EUR 67.47
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear EUR 48.4230.6%
Base EUR 67.4750.2%
Bull EUR 102.4067.2%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +1.3% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.7x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 8%0 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AD.AS (this company) EUR 33.61 -22.0% 13.2 2.0 3.5% 72
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 102.30 32.1% 14.5 2.3 9.8% 82
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 24.46 27.8% – 0.8 6.5% 36
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.49 24.7% 28.9 0.8 8.8% 72
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.60 20.0% 14.9 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.55 16.7% 13.8 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 283.20 8.1% 24.9 8.2 3.1% 70
DLTR Dollar Tree USD 135.65 1.9% 16.1 7.6 – 72
Peer median 16.1 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: EUR 1.24 per share · yield 3.69% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.240
20251.180
20241.110
20231.080
20220.980
20210.830
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange Euronext Amsterdam
Currency EUR

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 16:57

RevenueEUR 91,424,000,000
EBITDAEUR 7,140,000,000
EBITEUR 3,605,000,000
Net incomeEUR 2,240,000,000
Free cash flowEUR 4,747,000,000
Capital expendituresEUR 1,807,000,000
DebtEUR 15,636,000,000
CashEUR 3,593,000,000
Working capitalEUR -4,742,000,000
Shares outstanding881,000,000