SREN.SW

Swiss Re AG

Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments. The … Swiss Re AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance, insurance, other insurance-based forms of risk transfer, and other insurance-related services worldwide. The company operates through Property & Casualty Reinsurance, Life & Health Reinsurance, and Corporate Solutions segments. The Property & Casualty Reinsurance segment underwrites property reinsurance, including property, credit, surety and political, engineering and project, aviation, marine, agriculture, renewable energy, retakaful, and facultative reinsurance solutions; and casualty reinsurance, such as liability, motor, worker's compensation, personal accident, management and professional liability, cyber, and facultative reinsurance solutions. Its Life & Health Reinsurance segment underwrites life and health insurance products. The Corporate Solutions segment offers standard risk transfer covers and multi-line programs to customized solutions. It serves stock and mutual insurance companies, public sector and governmental entities, mid-sized and large corporations, and individuals. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
Market price
CHF 152.00
Overvalued by 43.5%
Base value (Dividend discount model) is 43.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 3.5% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:48; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 1 min ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceCHF 152.00
Fair value range67.02–118.87base 85.95
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook3.5% / yr≈ CHF 180.83 in 5 yrs

Other models: CHF 106.41–209.25 (median 188.00). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Details and the full model are below.

Dividend discount model

Market price above modeled range

Uses reported dividends of CHF 6.2323 per share from Fiscal year 2025, with 2.19% perpetual growth (base growth capped at the terminal rate) and 9.6% discount rates. The range varies growth and discount assumptions by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2.19%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.2% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 2.3%, analyst revenue consensus 0.6%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 3.5% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 0.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Banks, insurers and other financials are valued on the dividends they pay, not on free cash flow.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — CHF 85.95 (-43.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CHF 188.00 (+23.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — CHF 105.31 (-30.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — CHF 106.41 (-30.0%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — CHF 209.25 (+37.7%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — CHF 105.35 (-30.7%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CHF 420.55 (+176.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share CHF 67.02–118.87
Base scenario / share CHF 85.95
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear CHF 67.02-126.8%
Base CHF 85.95-76.8%
Bull CHF 118.87-27.9%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 5.3% dividend growth

At CHF 152.00 the market implies perpetual dividend growth of about this rate (discount rate 9.6%).

Compare: the market implies 5.3% a year, this model assumes 2.2%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Dividend discount model value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price. Dividend growth cannot exceed the long-run rate, so duplicate capped scenarios are omitted.

Growth \ Discount 7.6%8.6%9.6%10.6%11.6%
-1.8% 65.03 58.78 53.63 49.31 45.63
0.2% 84.27 74.25 66.36 59.98 54.73
2.2% 117.72 99.36 85.95 75.73 67.68
2.4% 122.73 102.93 88.64 77.83 69.37

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 82 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +2.3% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 0.9x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 14%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SREN.SW (this company) CHF 152.00 -77.0% 11.2 2.2 4.1% 82
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CHF 6.30 per share · yield 4.15% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)6.301
20256.008
20246.216
20235.721
20225.900
20215.900
Sector Financials
Exchange SIX Swiss Exchange
Currency CHF

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueCHF 41,194,147,042
EBITDACHF 5,635,700,944
EBITCHF 5,339,566,863
Net incomeCHF 4,072,758,421
Free cash flowCHF 2,594,879,842
Capital expendituresCHF 5
DebtCHF 7,361,474,647
CashCHF 2,248,360,372
Working capitalCHF -60,630,451,186
Shares outstanding298,761,000
Reported dividends per shareCHF 6.2323