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AMP.MI

Amplifon S.p.A.

Health Care company listed on Borsa Italiana. Business description not available yet.

Market price
EUR 11.17
Within modeled range
Base value (Free-cash-flow DCF) is 2.5% above the market price
Data: Price update date unknown; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from Yahoo Finance (downloaded 1 day ago).
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceEUR 11.17
Fair value range6.91–19.34base 11.45
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Other models: EUR 5.62–20.76 (median 11.37). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

Free-cash-flow DCF

Market price within modeled range

Free-cash-flow DCF using Fiscal year 2025 reported free cash flow, with cash, debt, and shares from the latest report. Base assumptions are 3% growth, 2.9% terminal growth, and 10.5% discount. Low/high cases vary growth by 2 and terminal growth/discount by 1 percentage point; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 22.74% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.50%, terminal growth 2.90%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 22.7% (sector default 6.8%, own revenue history 4.2%, analyst revenue consensus 40.0%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 40.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — EUR 11.45 (+2.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — EUR 5.62 (-49.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — EUR 11.45 (+2.5%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 3.2x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • FCFF (steady state) — EUR 11.37 (+1.8%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 3.2x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — EUR 20.76 (+85.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — EUR 11.44 (+2.5%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 3.2x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — EUR 45.72 (+309.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share EUR 6.91–19.34
Base scenario / share EUR 11.45
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear EUR 6.91-61.8%
Base EUR 11.452.4%
Bull EUR 19.3442.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 2.6% FCF growth / yr

At EUR 11.17 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.9%, discount 10.5%).

Compare: the market implies 2.6% a year, this model assumes 3.0%. The model is more optimistic than the price, which is why it reads as undervalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Free-cash-flow DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.

Growth \ Discount 8.5%9.5%10.5%11.5%12.5%
-1.0% 13.95 10.85 8.56 6.81 5.41
1.0% 15.89 12.47 9.95 8.01 6.48
3.0% 17.99 14.22 11.45 9.32 7.63
5.0% 20.25 16.11 13.05 10.71 8.86
7.0% 22.68 18.13 14.78 12.21 10.18

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +3.2% a year12 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.2x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 20%10 / 20

Peers in Health Care

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
AMP.MI (this company) EUR 11.17 8.7% 41.1 – 2.6% 72
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/S DKK 235.70 35.7% 6.1 0.9 – 72
CI Cigna USD 301.48 28.8% 12.4 1.9 2.0% 70
CVS CVS Health USD 81.33 12.4% 9.5 1.3 3.3% 70
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/S DKK 239.80 12.4% 11.8 1.4 – 92
INCY Incyte USD 118.01 8.8% 18.4 4.6 – 100
ZBH Zimmer Biomet USD 106.85 0.5% 26.6 1.6 0.9% 90
GSK.L GSK plc GBP 18.50 -3.2% 17.3 4.0 3.6% 92
SAN.PA Sanofi EUR 82.64 -4.2% 12.9 – 4.7% 92
Peer median 12.7 1.6
Sector Health Care
Exchange Borsa Italiana
Currency EUR

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · Yahoo Finance annual statements · period ended 31 Dec 2025 , annual figures reported by Yahoo Finance

RevenueEUR 2,395,705,000
EBITDAEUR 506,536,000
EBITEUR 191,459,000
Net incomeEUR 91,334,000
Free cash flowEUR 296,358,000
Capital expendituresEUR -118,409,000
DebtEUR 1,820,811,000
CashEUR 308,882,000
Working capitalEUR -493,340,000
Shares outstanding219,937,482
Reported dividends per shareEUR 0.2900