BNS.TO

Bank of Nova Scotia

The Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and M… The Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and retail automotive financing solutions. It also provides business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses. In addition, it provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternatives, and institutional funds. The company was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Market price
CAD 129.16
Overvalued by 31.0%
Base value (Justified P/B (ROE)) is 31.0% below the market price
5-year outlook: 9.1% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 14:47; TTM through 31 Jul 2026, period ended 31 Jul 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 2 h ago). Next earnings: 02 Dec 2026 (in 26 days)
Forecast Compare Investment journal
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceCAD 129.16
Fair value range77.67–109.45base 89.15
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook9.1% / yr≈ CAD 199.68 in 5 yrs

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

Justified P/B (ROE)

Market price above modeled range

Justified P/B (ROE) using TTM through 31 Jul 2026 net income and book equity: return on equity of 11.2% gives a fair price-to-book of 1.23x, with 2.4% growth (capped at the terminal rate) and 9.6% discount. The range varies growth and discount by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 14.72%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 14.7% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history 24.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.1% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — CAD 89.15 (-31.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CAD 116.11 (-10.1%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CAD 189.48 (+46.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share CAD 77.67–109.45
Base scenario / share CAD 89.15
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear CAD 77.67-66.3%
Base CAD 89.15-44.9%
Bull CAD 109.45-18.0%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +22.9% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 18.4x EBITDA0 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 20%20 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
BNS.TO (this company) CAD 129.16 -44.9% 15.8 1.8 3.8% 80
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.44 68.5% 3.6 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.88 45.6% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.73 36.6% 6.7 0.7 7.0% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 414.00 34.6% 8.7 – 0.2% 100
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.24 34.2% 8.0 1.6 1.9% 78
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 76.95 33.0% 8.1 1.5 5.0% 76
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.86 30.3% 8.2 1.3 5.0% 88
ACGL Arch Capital Group USD 108.49 30.3% 8.5 1.6 0.1% 100
Peer median 8.1 1.5

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CAD 4.48 per share · yield 3.47% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)4.480
20254.320
20244.240
20234.180
20223.060
20214.600
Sector Financials
Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange
Currency CAD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 31 Jul 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 14:11

RevenueCAD 71,066,000,000
EBITDACAD 14,261,000,000
EBITCAD 12,665,000,000
Net incomeCAD 10,009,000,000
Free cash flowCAD 6,322,000,000
Capital expendituresCAD 633,000,000
DebtCAD 272,463,000,000
CashCAD 10,329,000,000
Working capitalCAD -226,388,000,000
Shares outstanding1,226,000,000
Reported dividends per shareCAD 4.8662