MFC.TO

Manulife Financial Corporation

Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other segments. The Wealth … Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other segments. The Wealth and Asset Management Businesses segment offers investment advice and solutions to retirement, retail, and institutional clients through multiple distribution channels, including agents and brokers affiliated with the company, independent securities brokerage firms and financial advisors pension plan consultants, and banks. The Insurance and Annuity Products segment provides deposit and credit products; and individual life insurance, individual and group long-term care insurance, and guaranteed and partially guaranteed annuity products through multiple distribution channels, including insurance agents, brokers, banks, financial planners, and direct marketing. The Corporate and Other segment is involved in the property and casualty reinsurance businesses; and run-off reinsurance operations, including variable annuities, and accident and health. The company also manages timberland and agricultural portfolios; and engages in the insurance agency, broker dealer, investment counseling, portfolio and mutual fund management, property and casualty insurance, and fund and investment management businesses. In addition, it provides integrated banking products and services, as well as offers asset management services. The company was incorporated in 1887 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Market price
CAD 61.63
Overvalued by 27.6%
Base value (Justified P/B (ROE)) is 27.6% below the market price
5-year outlook: 8.3% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 21 h ago). Last earnings: 04 Nov 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceCAD 61.63
Fair value range38.63–54.82base 44.59
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook8.3% / yr≈ CAD 91.92 in 5 yrs

Other models: CAD 54.05–276.18 (median 76.03). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Details and the full model are below.

Justified P/B (ROE)

Market price above modeled range

Justified P/B (ROE) using TTM through 30 Jun 2026 net income and book equity: return on equity of 12.6% gives a fair price-to-book of 1.40x, with 2% growth (capped at the terminal rate) and 9.6% discount. The range varies growth and discount by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 9.60%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 5.4%, own revenue history -3.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 8.3% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Banks and insurers earn their money on their balance sheet, so value follows book value and how much the company earns on it (return on equity).

Compare models
  • Recommended: Justified P/B (ROE) — CAD 44.59 (-27.6%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CAD 54.05 (-12.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — CAD 271.73 (+340.9%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • FCFF (steady state) — CAD 276.18 (+348.1%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — CAD 76.03 (+23.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — CAD 271.90 (+341.2%)
    Not used: Cash-flow models do not suit banks and insurers, whose cash flow is mostly funding and deposits.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CAD 131.08 (+112.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share CAD 38.63–54.82
Base scenario / share CAD 44.59
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear CAD 38.63-59.6%
Base CAD 44.59-38.2%
Bull CAD 54.82-12.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 86 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability4 of 5 years profitable16 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +25.1% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 15%10 / 20

Peers in Financials

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
MFC.TO (this company) CAD 61.63 -38.2% 15.3 1.9 3.3% 86
PSH.L Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. GBP 38.88 68.1% 3.7 0.6 1.3% 76
LRE.L Lancashire Holdings Limited GBP 6.89 45.5% 7.1 1.6 3.3% 76
ACA.PA Credit Agricole S.A. EUR 15.88 36.0% 6.8 0.7 6.9% 78
PRU.L Prudential plc GBP 9.29 33.7% 8.1 1.6 1.9% 78
V Visa Inc. USD 422.59 33.3% 8.9 – 0.2% 100
AGS.BR ageas SA/NV EUR 77.60 32.5% 8.2 1.5 5.0% 76
SYF Synchrony Financial USD 74.07 29.9% 7.2 1.4 2.1% 100
NWG.L NatWest Group plc GBP 5.92 29.6% 8.3 1.3 4.9% 88
Peer median 7.6 1.4

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CAD 1.90 per share · yield 3.07% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)1.455
20251.760
20241.600
20231.460
20221.320
20211.170
Sector Financials
Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange
Currency CAD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 05 Nov 2026 16:06

RevenueCAD 57,898,000,000
EBITDACAD 8,598,000,000
EBITCAD 9,942,000,000
Net incomeCAD 6,725,000,000
Free cash flowCAD 30,757,000,000
Capital expendituresCAD 0
DebtCAD 14,127,000,000
CashCAD 37,916,000,000
Working capitalCAD 55,237,000,000
Shares outstanding1,670,000,000
Reported dividends per shareCAD 2.0479