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CTC-A.TO

Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited

About the company

Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited provides a range of retail goods and services in Canada. It operates through three segments: Retail, CT REIT, and Financial Services. The Retail segment retails automotive maintenance products and accessories, parts, and tires, as well as automotive services comprising oil changes, tire installations, and repairs; roadside assistance; electrical, hardware, paint, plumbing, and tool products; cleaning, food and drink, home décor, home essentials, home organization, home environment, kitchen, and pet care products; camping, exercise, hockey, hunting, fishing, seasonal recreation, and team sports and golf products; and backyard living, backyard fun, cycling, gardening, outdoor tools, seasonal, and toy products. This segment offers its products under the Canadian Tire, Canadian Tire Gas+, Pro Hockey Life, Mark's, PartSource, Helly Hansen, Party City, and SportChek brand names. This segment also participates in loyalty programs, as well as sells its products through online. The CT REIT segment operates as a closed-end real estate investment trust that holds a portfolio of properties comprising Canadian Tire stores, Canadian Tire anchored retail developments, industrial properties, mixed-use commercial property, and development properties. The Financial Services segment provides consumer credit cards; in-store financing to consumers; insurance products, and retail and broker deposits; and savings accounts and guaranteed investment certificates. Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Market price
CAD 205.05
Price below modeled range
Base value (EV/Sales (Rule of 40)) is 325.0% above the market price · low confidence
Relative 5-year outlook: 5.0% per year · ranking aid, not a predicted return. Forecast details
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 19:01; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 2 days ago). Next earnings: 12 Nov 2026 (in 6 days)
Model comparison

Price below modeled range

PriceCAD 205.05
Modeled value rangeCAD 620.69–1122.31base 871.50
Estimate reliabilityHigh
Relative 5-year outlook5.0% / yrRanking aid, not a predicted return

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

The range depends on model assumptions and data; it is not a prediction or investment advice.

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EV/Sales (Rule of 40)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the EV/Sales (Rule of 40) you selected on the company card, using 3% growth, 3% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 3% (limited from 3.62% because the latest annual revenue declined), discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3%. See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.6% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 0.0%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 5.0% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — CAD 90.79 (-55.7%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — CAD 170.58 (-16.8%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • FCFF (steady state) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — CAD 357.01 (+74.1%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: free cash flow is zero or negative.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — CAD 871.50 (+325.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share CAD 620.69–1122.31
Base scenario / share CAD 871.50
Margin of safety (share of value) Price below the bear case
Bear CAD 620.6967.0%
Base CAD 871.5076.5%
Bull CAD 1122.3181.7%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

3 months price change: +1.89% · CAD 205.05 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (CAD 871.50). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (1 hour, 12 minutes ago).

10 Aug 2026Range CAD 184.09 – 209.4405 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 60 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue -1.8% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 3.2x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 13%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
CTC-A.TO (this company) CAD 205.05 -125.8% 15.9 1.8 3.4% 60
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.75 44.8% 27.2 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.90 43.9% 13.9 0.8 3.1% 70
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 41.7% 17.1 21.8 0.7% 100
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.39 37.5% 8.9 1.9 4.2% 80
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.72 36.1% 109.4 2.6 – 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 34.9% 11.2 5.1 – 100
LULU Lululemon Athletica USD 111.77 33.3% 8.9 2.6 – 100
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 15.5 2.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: CAD 7.20 per share · yield 3.51% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)7.200
20257.100
20247.000
20236.900
20225.850
20214.700
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange Toronto Stock Exchange
Currency CAD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 04 Nov 2026 18:39

RevenueCAD 16,530,700,000
EBITDACAD 2,141,500,000
EBITCAD 1,366,400,000
Net incomeCAD 679,200,000
Free cash flowCAD 602,700,000
Capital expendituresCAD 597,600,000
DebtCAD 8,469,800,000
CashCAD 1,542,900,000
Working capitalCAD 5,787,600,000
Shares outstanding52,578,003
Reported dividends per shareCAD 6.8755