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ABNB

Airbnb

Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known… Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Market price
USD 170.13
Overvalued by 37.0%
Base value (FCFF (steady state)) is 37.0% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 16 min ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
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Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 170.13
Fair value range85.82–143.52base 107.17
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

FCFF (steady state)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the FCFF (steady state) you selected on the company card, using 12.47% growth, 3.1% terminal growth and 10.8% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 12.47%, discount rate 10.80%, terminal growth 3.10% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 12.5% (sector default 7.2%, own revenue history 19.6%, analyst revenue consensus 11.6%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 11.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 12.5%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 153.94 (-9.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 53.97 (-68.3%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 153.94 (-9.5%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 107.17 (-37.0%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 152.39 (-10.4%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 56.32 (-66.9%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 85.82–143.52
Base scenario / share USD 107.17
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 85.82-98.2%
Base USD 107.17-58.7%
Bull USD 143.52-18.5%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

6 months price change: +21.12% · USD 170.13 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 107.17). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (18 minutes ago).

07 May 2026Range USD 129.10 – 190.5005 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 100 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +13.5% a year20 / 20

Peers in Consumer Discretionary

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
ABNB (this company) USD 170.13 -2.5% 33.0 11.4 – 100
KGF.L Kingfisher plc GBP 3.75 44.8% 27.2 1.1 3.3% 74
BWY.L Bellway p.l.c. GBP 22.90 43.9% 13.9 0.8 3.1% 70
EXPE Expedia Group USD 272.48 41.7% 17.1 21.8 0.7% 100
INCH.L Inchcape plc GBP 6.39 37.5% 8.9 1.9 4.2% 80
DECK Deckers Brands USD 87.74 36.7% 12.5 5.1 – 100
ZAL.DE Zalando SE EUR 27.72 36.1% 109.4 2.6 – 80
CVNA Carvana USD 72.08 34.5% 9.5 3.7 – 87
BKNG Booking Holdings USD 168.72 28.9% 17.7 – 1.0% 100
Peer median 15.5 2.6
Sector Consumer Discretionary
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueUSD 12,241,000,000
EBITDAUSD
EBITUSD 2,544,000,000
Net incomeUSD 2,511,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 4,646,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD
DebtUSD 1,999,000,000
CashUSD 6,560,000,000
Working capitalUSD 5,148,000,000
Shares outstanding623,000,000