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DVA

DaVita

DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodia… DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis dialysis services; operates clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company offers integrated care and disease management services to patients in risk-based and other integrated care arrangements; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. Further, it engages in the transplant software business. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Market price
USD 190.71
Within modeled range
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 35.9% above the market price
5-year outlook: 3.5% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:17; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 1 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 190.71
Fair value range190.14–382.23base 259.24
Estimate reliabilityHigh
5-year outlook3.5% / yr≈ USD 226.94 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price within modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 4.58% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.5% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 4.58%, discount rate 10.50%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 4.6% (sector default 6.8%, own revenue history 4.1%, analyst revenue consensus 3.7%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 3.5% a year (High confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.7% a year; the growth assumption used is 4.6%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 259.91 (+36.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 133.25 (-30.1%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 259.91 (+36.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 242.76 (+27.3%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 444.08 (+132.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 259.24 (+35.9%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 898.87 (+371.3%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 190.14–382.23
Base scenario / share USD 259.24
Margin of safety (share of value) Margin of safety vs base case
Bear USD 190.14-0.3%
Base USD 259.2426.4%
Bull USD 382.2350.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

5 years price change: +78.11% · USD 194.82 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 259.24). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (3 minutes ago).

08 Nov 2021Range USD 67.89 – 238.8605 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +4.1% a year12 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 20%20 / 20

Peers in Health Care

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
DVA (this company) USD 190.08 -108.4% 13.5 – – 70
CNC Centene Corporation USD 72.02 43.3% 24.4 1.6 – 72
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/S DKK 231.10 37.0% 6.0 0.9 – 72
CI Cigna USD 295.59 30.1% 12.2 1.8 2.1% 70
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/S DKK 238.20 13.0% 11.7 1.4 – 92
CVS CVS Health USD 81.72 12.0% 9.5 1.3 3.2% 70
AMP.MI Amplifon S.p.A. EUR 11.17 8.7% 41.1 – 2.6% 72
ZBH Zimmer Biomet USD 106.85 0.5% 26.6 1.6 0.9% 90
GSK.L GSK plc GBP 18.47 -3.0% 17.3 4.0 3.6% 92
Peer median 14.7 1.6
Sector Health Care
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueUSD 13,643,069,000
EBITDAUSD 2,751,867,000
EBITUSD 2,043,615,000
Net incomeUSD 746,803,000
Free cash flowUSD 1,310,636,000
Capital expendituresUSD -575,864,000
DebtUSD
CashUSD 676,438,000
Working capitalUSD 916,369,000
Shares outstanding75,885,000