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INCY

Incyte

Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics in the United States, Europe, Canada, and Japan. The company offers JAKAFI for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF), polycythemia vera, and steroid-refractory acute graft-ver… Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics in the United States, Europe, Canada, and Japan. The company offers JAKAFI for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF), polycythemia vera, and steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease; ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia; MONJUVI/MINJUVI for the treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and Follicular Lymphoma; NIKTIMVO for the treatment of chronic graft-versus-host disease. It also provides INCA033989 for the treatment of essential thrombocythemia and MF; INCA035784 for the treatment of anti-mutant calreticulin and myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs); INCB160058 for the treatment of MPNs; PEMAZYRE, a selective fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor for the treatment of unresectable biliary tract cancer, metastatic cholangiocarcinoma, and myeloid/lymphoid neoplasms; ZYNYZ to treat adults with metastatic or recurrent locally advanced Merkel cell carcinoma. The company's clinical stage products include INCB123667 for ovarian cancer; INCB161734 for solid tumors; INCA33890 for cancers; Ruxolitinib cream for atopic dermatitis, hidradenitis suppurativa (HS), and prurigo nodularis; Povorcitinib for HS, nonsegmental vitiligo, prurigo nodularis, and asthma; and INCB00928 for the treatment of fibrodysplasia ossificans progressive. It has collaboration and license agreement with Novartis, Lilly, and Syndax. The company sells its products to specialty and retail pharmacies, hospital pharmacies, and distributors. Incyte Corporation has a clinical trial collaboration with Genmab A/S to evaluate petosemtamab. The company was formerly known as Incyte Genomics Inc and changed its name to Incyte Corporation in March 2003. Incyte Corporation was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
Market price
USD 118.01
Overvalued by 38.2%
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 38.2% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 6 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks overvalued

PriceUSD 118.01
Fair value range55.55–105.23base 72.97
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Details and the full model are below.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price above modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 7.16% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.5% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 7.16%, discount rate 10.50%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 7.2% (sector default 6.8%, own revenue history 14.6%, analyst revenue consensus 3.6%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 3.6% a year; the growth assumption used is 7.2%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 73.29 (-37.9%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 26.87 (-77.2%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 73.29 (-37.9%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 64.40 (-45.4%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 70.31 (-40.4%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 72.97 (-38.2%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 147.02 (+24.6%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 55.55–105.23
Base scenario / share USD 72.97
Margin of safety (share of value) Above the bull case
Bear USD 55.55-112.5%
Base USD 72.97-61.7%
Bull USD 105.23-12.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 90 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +15.4% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 15%10 / 20

Peers in Health Care

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
INCY (this company) USD 118.01 -61.0% 59.5 4.3 – 90
CNC Centene Corporation USD 74.17 41.6% 25.1 1.7 – 72
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/S DKK 235.70 35.7% 6.1 0.9 – 72
CI Cigna USD 301.48 28.8% 12.4 1.9 2.0% 70
CVS CVS Health USD 81.33 12.4% 9.5 1.3 3.3% 70
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/S DKK 239.80 12.4% 11.8 1.4 – 92
AMP.MI Amplifon S.p.A. EUR 11.17 8.7% 41.1 – 2.6% 72
ZBH Zimmer Biomet USD 106.85 0.5% 26.6 1.6 0.9% 90
GSK.L GSK plc GBP 18.50 -3.2% 17.3 4.0 3.6% 92
Peer median 14.9 1.6
Sector Health Care
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:56

RevenueUSD 6,010,754,000
EBITDAUSD 872,804,000
EBITUSD 798,544,000
Net incomeUSD 403,411,000
Free cash flowUSD 684,871,000
Capital expendituresUSD 60,121,000
DebtUSD 37,412,000
CashUSD 3,854,572,000
Working capitalUSD 4,083,550,000
Shares outstanding203,246,000