SNDK

Sandisk

Sandisk Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions using NAND flash technology in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company provides solid state drives for desktop and notebook PCs, gaming consoles, and set top boxes;… Sandisk Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions using NAND flash technology in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company provides solid state drives for desktop and notebook PCs, gaming consoles, and set top boxes; and flash-based embedded storage products for mobile phones, tablets, notebook PCs and other portable and wearable devices, automotive applications, Internet of Things, industrial, and connected home applications, as well as removable cards, universal serial bus drives, and wafers and components. It sells its products to computer manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers, datacenters, private cloud customers, cloud service providers, resellers, distributors, and retailers through its sales personnel, dealers, distributors, retailers, and subsidiaries. Sandisk Corporation was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Milpitas, California.
Market price
USD 806.43
Undervalued by 266.2%
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 266.2% above the market price · low confidence
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:57; TTM through 30 Sep 2026, period ended 30 Sep 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 2 min ago). Last earnings: 29 Oct 2026
Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceUSD 806.43
Fair value range1929.51–4843.03base 2953.35
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Free-cash-flow DCF disagrees strongly.

Why: Memory and storage prices swing through boom and bust, so current cash flow is valued as steady, with no growth beyond the long-run rate, instead of projecting peak profits forward.

Details and the full model are below.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 22.02% growth, 3.25% terminal growth and 11.5% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice. Low confidence: the modelled value is far from the market price, which usually means the model does not capture this company well (for example expected growth well above its history).

Assumptions: growth 22.02%, discount rate 11.50%, terminal growth 3.25% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 22.0% (sector default 8.5%, own revenue history 40.0%, analyst revenue consensus 19.8%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 19.8% a year; the growth assumption used is 22.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Memory and storage prices swing through boom and bust, so current cash flow is valued as steady, with no growth beyond the long-run rate, instead of projecting peak profits forward.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Steady-state FCFF (cycle-adjusted) — USD 1443.25 (+79.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 1578.37 (+95.7%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 2991.96 (+271.0%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Steady-state FCFF (cycle-adjusted) ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 1443.25 (+79.0%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 1733.16 (+114.9%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 2953.35 (+266.2%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 2853.90 (+253.9%)
    Not used: Used only when cash-flow models land far below the price; here they do not.
Illustrative range / share USD 1929.51–4843.03
Base scenario / share USD 2953.35
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear USD 1929.5158.2%
Base USD 2953.3572.7%
Bull USD 4843.0383.3%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 76 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability2 of 5 years profitable8 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 2 of 5 years8 / 20
Growthrevenue +47.7% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 75%20 / 20

Peers in Information Technology

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
SNDK (this company) USD 806.43 44.1% 6.4 6.8 – 76
SMCI Supermicro USD 27.08 50.8% 8.5 1.3 – 68
ADBE Adobe Inc. USD 246.44 42.5% 13.4 8.3 – 100
IT Gartner USD 198.07 35.7% 13.3 – – 92
INTU Intuit USD 354.84 31.9% 21.1 5.1 1.4% 100
HPQ HP Inc. USD 29.44 31.6% 11.1 – 4.0% 64
GIB-A.TO CGI Inc. CAD 115.51 26.9% 13.9 2.4 0.6% 90
FSLR First Solar USD 195.76 25.9% 11.3 1.9 – 84
CRM Salesforce USD 222.41 16.6% 18.9 4.8 0.8% 100
Peer median 13.3 3.6
Sector Information Technology
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Sep 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:23

RevenueUSD 28,971,000,000
EBITDAUSD 21,831,000,000
EBITUSD 21,675,000,000
Net incomeUSD 19,422,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 17,365,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 181,000,000
DebtUSD 201,000,000
CashUSD 5,136,000,000
Working capitalUSD 9,401,000,000
Shares outstanding154,000,000