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IMB.L

Imperial Brands PLC

Imperial Brands PLC, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, imports, markets, and sells tobacco and tobacco-related products in Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Asia, Australasia, and internationally. It offers a range of cigarettes, tobacco accessories, vapour, heated tobacco, and oral nic… Imperial Brands PLC, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, imports, markets, and sells tobacco and tobacco-related products in Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Asia, Australasia, and internationally. It offers a range of cigarettes, tobacco accessories, vapour, heated tobacco, and oral nicotine. The company sells its products under various brands, including JPS, Davidoff, Gauloises, West, Winston, Kool, Lambert & Butler, P&S, Fortuna, Nobel, News, Backwoods, Champion, Golden Virginia, FINE, Rizla, Blu, Pulze, Skruf, and Zone. In addition, it engages in the distribution of tobacco and NGP products for tobacco and NGP product manufacturers; and various non-tobacco and NGP products and services. Further, the company is involved in the management of a golf course; distribution of pharmaceuticals, POS software, and published materials and other products; printing and publishing activities; and provision of long haul transportation, industrial parcel and express delivery, pharmaceutical products logistics, advertising, payment, freight forwarding, and support management services, as well as owns the trademarks; and retails its products. Additionally, it engages in edition and distribution of books and non-periodical publication. Furthermore, the company is involved in research and development of e-vapour products. The company was formerly known as Imperial Tobacco Group PLC and changed its name to Imperial Brands PLC in February 2016. Imperial Brands PLC was founded in 1636 and is based in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Market price
GBP 29.68
Within modeled range
Base value (Dividend discount model) is 10.5% below the market price
5-year outlook: 9.9% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:56; FY2025, period ended 30 Sep 2025 from EODHD (downloaded 20 h ago). Next earnings: 17 Nov 2026 (in 11 days)
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceGBP 29.68
Fair value range20.59–37.16base 26.57
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook9.9% / yr≈ GBP 47.56 in 5 yrs

Other models: GBP 35.32–51.23 (median 41.53). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Details and the full model are below.

Dividend discount model

Market price within modeled range

Uses reported dividends of GBP 1.8758 per share from Fiscal year 2025, with 2% perpetual growth (base growth capped at the terminal rate) and 9.2% discount rates. The range varies growth and discount assumptions by 1 percentage point; it is illustrative, not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 2%, discount rate 9.20%, terminal growth 2.40% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 2.0% (sector default 5.3%, own revenue history -0.5%, analyst revenue consensus 1.5%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 9.9% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 1.5% a year; the growth assumption used is 2.0%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Dividends are a large share of earnings, so the cash paid to shareholders is the best guide to value.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Dividend discount model — GBP 26.57 (-10.5%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — GBP 35.32 (+19.0%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — GBP 40.64 (+36.9%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Dividend discount model ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — GBP 41.53 (+39.9%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — GBP 51.23 (+72.6%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — GBP 40.68 (+37.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — GBP 107.74 (+263.0%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share GBP 20.59–37.16
Base scenario / share GBP 26.57
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear GBP 20.59-44.1%
Base GBP 26.57-11.7%
Bull GBP 37.1620.1%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 2.7% dividend growth

At GBP 29.68 the market implies perpetual dividend growth of about this rate (discount rate 9.2%).

Compare: the market implies 2.7% a year, this model assumes 2.0%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Dividend discount model value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price. Dividend growth cannot exceed the long-run rate, so duplicate capped scenarios are omitted.

Growth \ Discount 7.2%8.2%9.2%10.2%11.2%
-2.0% 19.98 18.02 16.41 15.07 13.93
0.0% 26.05 22.88 20.39 18.39 16.75
2.0% 36.79 30.86 26.57 23.33 20.80
2.4% 40.02 33.12 28.25 24.63 21.83

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 64 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue -0.5% a year4 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 2.0x EBITDA10 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 13%10 / 20

Peers in Consumer Staples

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
IMB.L (this company) GBP 29.68 -11.7% 11.9 5.1 6.3% 64
ORK.OL Orkla ASA NOK 103.30 31.4% 14.7 2.4 9.7% 82
WN.TO George Weston Limited CAD 109.72 26.2% 39.8 9.1 1.2% 72
KHC Kraft Heinz USD 25.32 25.2% – 0.8 6.3% 36
CA.PA Carrefour SA EUR 13.59 24.1% 29.1 0.8 8.7% 72
ABF.L Associated British Foods plc GBP 19.83 19.1% 15.0 1.2 3.2% 82
ADM Archer Daniels Midland USD 70.47 16.8% 13.7 1.4 3.0% 64
AXFO.ST Axfood AB SEK 281.90 8.5% 24.8 8.1 3.1% 70
GIS General Mills USD 36.46 3.4% – 2.6 6.7% 52
Peer median 19.9 1.9

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: GBP 0.02 per share · yield 0.07% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)0.017
20250.017
20240.015
20230.014
20220.014
20210.014
Sector Consumer Staples
Exchange London Stock Exchange
Currency GBP

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · EODHD annual statements · period ended 30 Sep 2025

RevenueGBP 32,171,000,000
EBITDAGBP 4,259,000,000
EBITGBP 3,584,000,000
Net incomeGBP 2,071,000,000
Free cash flowGBP 2,859,000,000
Capital expendituresGBP 384,000,000
DebtGBP 9,996,000,000
CashGBP 1,439,000,000
Working capitalGBP -3,042,000,000
Shares outstanding830,600,000
Reported dividends per shareGBP 1.8758