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CNC

Centene Corporation

Centene Corporation operates as a managed care company that provides programs and services to under-insured families, and commercial organizations in the United States. It operates through four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other. The Medicaid segment offers the temporary assistance… Centene Corporation operates as a managed care company that provides programs and services to under-insured families, and commercial organizations in the United States. It operates through four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other. The Medicaid segment offers the temporary assistance for needy families; medicaid expansion; aged, blind, or disabled; and children's health insurance programs, as well as long-term services and supports; foster care; and medicare-medicaid plans. This segment also provides healthcare products and services. The Medicare segment offers special needs and medicare supplement, and prescription drug plans. The Commercial segment provides health insurance marketplace product for individual and commercial group. The Other segment operates clinical healthcare and pharmacies, as well as offers vision and dental, behavioral health, and centralized services. It provides services through primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, behavioral health practitioners, and ancillary providers. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
Market price
USD 74.17
Undervalued by 64.1%
Base value (Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)) is 64.1% above the market price
5-year outlook: 4.6% per year · forecast
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 18:22; FY2025, period ended 31 Dec 2025 from SEC EDGAR (downloaded 33 min ago). Last earnings: 27 Oct 2026
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Verdict

Looks undervalued

PriceUSD 74.17
Fair value range79.34–202.82base 121.73
Estimate reliabilityMedium
5-year outlook4.6% / yr≈ USD 92.97 in 5 yrs

Why: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Start with the price and fair value range, then review the data dates and assumptions below. Estimates are not predictions or investment advice.

Fade DCF (10-year growth fade)

Market price below modeled range

Showing the Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) you selected on the company card, using 3.37% growth, 2.9% terminal growth and 10.5% discount. The range varies these assumptions slightly; it is illustrative, not investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 3.37%, discount rate 10.50%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 3.4% (sector default 6.8%, own revenue history 11.5%, analyst revenue consensus -2.4%).

5-year outlook: relative outlook of about 4.6% a year (Medium confidence), anchored to a 7% market return and adjusted for how this company ranks against others. A ranking aid, not a prediction. See the full forecast.

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of -2.4% a year; the growth assumption used is 3.4%.

Adjust assumptions

Show the recommended model instead

Why this model: Free cash flow is positive and in line with earnings, and the dividend is small, so a cash-flow DCF fits best.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Free-cash-flow DCF — USD 121.82 (+64.3%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: net income is zero or negative.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 121.82 (+64.3%)
    Not used: Not chosen: Free-cash-flow DCF ranks ahead of it for this company.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 119.44 (+61.0%)
    Not used: Assumes only the long-run terminal growth rate from today, so it ignores the near-term growth expected.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — not applicable
    Not used: Cannot be computed: EBITDA is missing, zero or negative.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 121.73 (+64.1%)
    Not used: An alternative growth path (fading over 10 years) shown for comparison; the automatic choice does not use it.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 395.79 (+433.6%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 79.34–202.82
Base scenario / share USD 121.73
Margin of safety (share of value) Cheap even in the bear case
Bear USD 79.346.5%
Base USD 121.7339.1%
Bull USD 202.8263.4%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

1 year price change: +99.92% · USD 74.17 · Market data through 05 Nov 2026 ; dashed line is today’s model base value (USD 121.73). The fair value is today’s estimate, not what the model said in the past.

Saved price history is current through 05 Nov 2026; last refreshed 06 Nov 2026 18:14 (36 minutes ago).

06 Nov 2025Range USD 31.80 – 76.0105 Nov 2026

Latest news

Headlines provided by EODHD. Articles may mention multiple companies and are not investment recommendations.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 72 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability4 of 5 years profitable16 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 4 of 5 years16 / 20
Growthrevenue +9.0% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet cash20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 1%0 / 20

Peers in Health Care

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
CNC (this company) USD 74.17 -14.8% 25.2 1.7 – 72
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/S DKK 232.90 36.5% 6.0 0.9 – 72
CI Cigna USD 301.48 28.8% 12.4 1.9 2.0% 70
CVS CVS Health USD 81.33 12.4% 9.5 1.3 3.3% 70
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/S DKK 241.00 12.0% 11.9 1.4 – 92
AMP.MI Amplifon S.p.A. EUR 11.17 8.7% 41.1 – 2.6% 72
ZBH Zimmer Biomet USD 106.85 0.5% 26.6 1.6 0.9% 90
GSK.L GSK plc GBP 18.90 -5.4% 17.7 4.1 3.5% 92
SAN.PA Sanofi EUR 83.74 -5.5% 13.1 – 4.7% 92
Peer median 12.7 1.5
Sector Health Care
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Annual financial statement

Saved annual report · Fiscal year 2025 · SEC EDGAR annual filings · period ended 31 Dec 2025

RevenueUSD 194,777,000,000
EBITDAUSD -6,348,000,000
EBITUSD -7,623,000,000
Net incomeUSD -6,674,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 4,321,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD -767,000,000
DebtUSD 17,493,000,000
CashUSD 17,888,000,000
Working capitalUSD 3,674,000,000
Shares outstanding493,116,000