CAH

Cardinal Health

Cardinal Health, Inc. operates as a healthcare services and products company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments: Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions, and Global Medical Products and Distribution. The company offers customized solutions for hospitals, healthcare… Cardinal Health, Inc. operates as a healthcare services and products company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments: Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions, and Global Medical Products and Distribution. The company offers customized solutions for hospitals, healthcare systems, pharmacies, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories, physician offices, and patients in the home. It distributes branded and generic pharmaceutical, specialty pharmaceutical, and over-the-counter healthcare and consumer products. The company also provides services to pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare providers for specialty pharmaceutical products; pharmacy management services to hospitals; operates pharmacies, including pharmacies in community health centers; and repackages generic pharmaceuticals and over-the-counter healthcare products. In addition, it manufactures, sources, and distributes Cardinal Health branded medical, surgical, and laboratory products and devices that include exam and surgical gloves; needles, syringe, and sharps disposals; compression, incontinence, nutritional delivery, and wound care products; single-use surgical drapes, gowns, and apparel products; fluid suction and collection systems; urology products; operating room supply products; and electrode product lines. Further, the company distributes a range of national brand products, including medical, surgical, and laboratory products; provides supply chain services and solutions to hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, clinical laboratories, and other healthcare providers; and assembles and sells sterile and non-sterile procedure kits. Additionally, it manufactures, prepares, and delivers radiopharmaceuticals; and optimizes direct shipments through integrated technology solutions. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.
Market price
USD 267.82
Within modeled range
Base value (Normalised free-cash-flow DCF) is 27.0% below the market price
Data: Price updated 06 Nov 2026 09:55; TTM through 30 Jun 2026, period ended 30 Jun 2026 from EODHD (downloaded 44 min ago). Last earnings: 05 Nov 2026
Verdict

Priced within the modelled range

PriceUSD 267.82
Fair value range141.21–289.88base 195.47
Estimate reliabilityLow
5-year outlook–

5-year outlook: Not shown because confidence is low: Earnings-based DCF disagrees strongly.

Other models: USD 97.92–237.02 (median 154.62). The recommended value is in line with them.

Why: Latest free cash flow is depressed by heavy investment or one-off items, so a three-year average is used instead.

Details and the full model are below.

Normalised free-cash-flow DCF

Market price within modeled range

Normalised free-cash-flow DCF using a three-year average of free cash flow, because the latest figure is depressed by heavy investment or one-off items, with cash, debt, and shares from the latest report. Base assumptions are 6.93% growth, 2.9% terminal growth, and 10.5% discount. Low/high cases vary growth by 2 and terminal growth/discount by 1 percentage point; this illustrative range is not a statistical confidence interval or investment advice.

Assumptions: growth 6.93%, discount rate 10.50%, terminal growth 2.90% (sector defaults). See a worked example.

Blended growth assumption: 6.9% (sector default 6.8%, own revenue history 8.8%, analyst revenue consensus 6.0%).

Analyst consensus expects revenue growth of 6.1% a year; the growth assumption used is 6.9%.

Adjust assumptions

Why this model: Latest free cash flow is depressed by heavy investment or one-off items, so a three-year average is used instead.

Compare models
  • Recommended: Normalised free-cash-flow DCF — USD 195.47 (-27.0%)
  • EPS-based Gordon proxy — USD 97.92 (-63.4%)
    Not used: Treats all earnings as if paid out and ignores the cash kept for reinvestment, so it overstates value for companies that retain most profit.
  • DCF (trailing free cash flow) — USD 284.48 (+6.2%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.6x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • FCFF (steady state) — USD 237.02 (-11.5%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.6x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/EBITDA (12x) — USD 154.62 (-42.3%)
    Not used: Used only when free cash flow is far below earnings even after averaging three years; a fixed 12x multiple also ignores sector differences.
  • Fade DCF (10-year growth fade) — USD 282.71 (+5.6%)
    Not used: Free cash flow is 2.6x net income, which usually means costs such as lease payments sit outside operating cash flow, so it may be overstated.
  • EV/Sales (Rule of 40) — USD 1758.88 (+556.7%)
    Not used: Used only for technology and communication companies whose cash-flow value is far below the price.
Illustrative range / share USD 141.21–289.88
Base scenario / share USD 195.47
Margin of safety (share of value) Priced for base-to-bull outcomes
Bear USD 141.21-89.7%
Base USD 195.47-37.0%
Bull USD 289.887.6%

Margin = (value − price) / value, so it is measured against the value and reads lower than the upside to value, which is measured against the price. Positive means the price is below that case.

Market-implied expectations 14.1% FCF growth / yr

At USD 267.82 the market implies about this annual free-cash-flow growth for 5 years (terminal 2.9%, discount 10.5%).

Compare: the market implies 14.1% a year, this model assumes 6.9%. The market expects more than this model does, which is why it reads as overvalued.

Sensitivity: base value per share

How the Normalised free-cash-flow DCF value changes with growth (rows) and discount rate (columns). Green cells are above the current price.

Growth \ Discount 8.5%9.5%10.5%11.5%12.5%
2.9% 227.62 189.87 162.05 140.71 123.81
4.9% 250.26 208.75 178.17 154.71 136.15
6.9% 274.61 229.03 195.47 169.73 149.37
8.9% 300.76 250.80 214.03 185.83 163.54
10.9% 328.80 274.13 233.90 203.07 178.70

Track record: see the methodology page for how this model has performed historically, including its limits. Treat it as a screen, not a forecast.

Price history and fair value

No chartable saved daily price history is available for this range. The chart uses stored EODHD prices only and will appear after history is saved.

More detail: quality, peers, price history, dividends and financials

Quality score: 80 / 100

Five equal checks on reported history: profitability, cash generation, revenue growth, balance sheet and margins. It describes business quality, not whether the price is attractive.

Profitability5 of 5 years profitable20 / 20
Cash generationfree cash flow positive in 5 of 5 years20 / 20
Growthrevenue +5.5% a year20 / 20
Balance sheetnet debt 1.5x EBITDA20 / 20
MarginsEBITDA margin 1%0 / 20

Peers in Health Care

Same-sector companies with a valuation, most undervalued first. Compare the margin of safety, yield and quality score side by side.

CompanyPriceMargin of safetyP/EP/BYieldQuality
CAH (this company) USD 267.82 -37.0% 37.0 – 0.8% 80
CNC Centene Corporation USD 74.17 41.6% 25.1 1.7 – 72
ZEAL.CO Zealand Pharma A/S DKK 235.70 35.7% 6.1 0.9 – 72
CI Cigna USD 301.48 28.8% 12.4 1.9 2.0% 70
CVS CVS Health USD 81.33 12.4% 9.5 1.3 3.3% 70
BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/S DKK 239.80 12.4% 11.8 1.4 – 92
AMP.MI Amplifon S.p.A. EUR 11.17 8.7% 41.1 – 2.6% 72
ZBH Zimmer Biomet USD 106.85 0.5% 26.6 1.6 0.9% 90
GSK.L GSK plc GBP 18.50 -3.2% 17.3 4.0 3.6% 92
Peer median 14.9 1.6

Dividends

Paid in the last 12 months: USD 2.05 per share · yield 0.77% at the current price.

YearDividends per share
2026 (so far)2.054
20252.034
20241.513
20231.999
20221.979
20211.959
Sector Health Care
Exchange NASDAQ
Currency USD

Trailing 12-month financials

TTM through 30 Jun 2026 · quarterly EODHD data · data downloaded 06 Nov 2026 13:02

RevenueUSD 254,248,000,000
EBITDAUSD 3,478,000,000
EBITUSD 2,522,000,000
Net incomeUSD 1,714,000,000
Free cash flowUSD 4,525,000,000
Capital expendituresUSD 649,000,000
DebtUSD 9,948,000,000
CashUSD 4,856,000,000
Working capitalUSD -5,151,000,000
Shares outstanding237,000,000
Reported dividends per shareUSD 2.0717